Ligue 1·Regular Season - 34·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
21%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.063.09safe1.06–3.000.21–1.911.27–4.92safer0.81–3.250.00–2.140.79–5.40
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.013.809.81safe4.15–7.882.05–5.546.21–13.42safer3.66–8.371.59–6.005.25–14.37
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5611.4226.98safe11.64–19.497.86–14.9919.50–34.47safer10.55–20.586.90–15.9417.45–36.52
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.277.0717.34safe7.33–13.214.39–9.7511.72–22.96safer6.50–14.043.65–10.4910.15–24.53
Blocked shots
57%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.872.916.78safe1.99–5.751.26–4.563.24–10.31safer1.44–6.290.76–5.052.21–11.35
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.894.5410.42safe3.67–8.102.54–6.546.21–14.63safer3.10–8.672.00–7.075.10–15.74
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.4535.67safe58.66–72.2428.89–42.46safer56.99–73.9127.21–44.13
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction624345969safe557–691278–411835–1103safer539–710261–429800–1138
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction77.1467.48safe73.11–81.1763.16–71.81safer71.82–82.4661.85–73.12
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4110.9722.38safe8.57–14.258.02–13.9116.60–28.16safer7.82–15.017.28–14.6615.09–29.67
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.523.45safe0.77–3.090.43–2.621.20–5.70safer0.47–3.390.14–2.900.61–6.29
Yellow cards
35%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.382.69safe0.26–2.360.25–2.510.52–4.87safer0.00–2.630.00–2.800.00–5.43
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.756.32safe1.14–4.012.19–5.303.33–9.31safer0.75–4.401.77–5.732.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.03 1.06–3.00 0.81–3.25 | 1.06 0.21–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 3.09 1.27–4.92 0.79–5.40 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.01 4.15–7.88 3.66–8.37 | 3.80 2.05–5.54 1.59–6.00 | 9.81 6.21–13.42 5.25–14.37 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 15.56 11.64–19.49 10.55–20.58 | 11.42 7.86–14.99 6.90–15.94 | 26.98 19.50–34.47 17.45–36.52 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 10.27 7.33–13.21 6.50–14.04 | 7.07 4.39–9.75 3.65–10.49 | 17.34 11.72–22.96 10.15–24.53 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 1.99–5.75 1.44–6.29 | 2.91 1.26–4.56 0.76–5.05 | 6.78 3.24–10.31 2.21–11.35 | 57% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.67–8.10 3.10–8.67 | 4.54 2.54–6.54 2.00–7.07 | 10.42 6.21–14.63 5.10–15.74 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 65.45 58.66–72.24 56.99–73.91 | 35.67 28.89–42.46 27.21–44.13 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 624 557–691 539–710 | 345 278–411 261–429 | 969 835–1103 800–1138 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.14 73.11–81.17 71.82–82.46 | 67.48 63.16–71.81 61.85–73.12 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.41 8.57–14.25 7.82–15.01 | 10.97 8.02–13.91 7.28–14.66 | 22.38 16.60–28.16 15.09–29.67 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.77–3.09 0.47–3.39 | 1.52 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.90 | 3.45 1.20–5.70 0.61–6.29 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.63 | 1.38 0.25–2.51 0.00–2.80 | 2.69 0.52–4.87 0.00–5.43 | 35% 26% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 3.75 2.19–5.30 1.77–5.73 | 6.32 3.33–9.31 2.52–10.13 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+