Ligue 1·Regular Season - 34·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.440.784.22safe2.47–4.410.00–1.642.40–6.05safer2.22–4.660.00–1.871.92–6.53
Shots on target
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.913.0211.94safe7.05–10.771.28–4.778.33–15.54safer6.56–11.260.82–5.237.38–16.50
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction22.558.1230.67safe18.62–26.474.56–11.6823.18–38.15safer17.53–27.563.60–12.6421.13–40.20
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction15.035.4020.43safe12.09–17.972.72–8.0814.80–26.05safer11.26–18.801.98–8.8213.24–27.62
Blocked shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction6.181.898.07safe4.30–8.060.24–3.554.54–11.61safer3.75–8.600.00–4.043.50–12.64
Corners
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.892.6511.54safe6.68–11.110.65–4.657.33–15.76safer6.10–11.680.12–5.186.22–16.86
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction70.1730.28safe63.38–76.9623.50–37.06safer61.71–78.6321.82–38.74
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7803521132safe713–847286–418999–1266safer695–866268–436963–1302
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction84.9170.95safe80.88–88.9466.62–75.27safer79.59–90.2365.32–76.58
Fouls
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction8.3411.0619.39safe5.50–11.178.11–14.0013.61–25.18safer4.74–11.937.36–14.7512.11–26.68
Offsides
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.142.124.26safe0.98–3.301.03–3.212.01–6.52safer0.68–3.600.74–3.501.42–7.11
Yellow cards
19%
26%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction0.751.492.25safe0.00–1.800.36–2.620.07–4.42safer0.00–2.070.07–2.910.00–4.98
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.300.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
87%
homeawaytotalprediction2.065.597.65safe0.63–3.504.03–7.154.66–10.64safer0.24–3.883.61–7.573.85–11.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.44 2.47–4.41 2.22–4.66 | 0.78 0.00–1.64 0.00–1.87 | 4.22 2.40–6.05 1.92–6.53 | 86% |
| Shots on target | 8.91 7.05–10.77 6.56–11.26 | 3.02 1.28–4.77 0.82–5.23 | 11.94 8.33–15.54 7.38–16.50 | 95% |
| Total shots | 22.55 18.62–26.47 17.53–27.56 | 8.12 4.56–11.68 3.60–12.64 | 30.67 23.18–38.15 21.13–40.20 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 15.03 12.09–17.97 11.26–18.80 | 5.40 2.72–8.08 1.98–8.82 | 20.43 14.80–26.05 13.24–27.62 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 6.18 4.30–8.06 3.75–8.60 | 1.89 0.24–3.55 0.00–4.04 | 8.07 4.54–11.61 3.50–12.64 | 92% |
| Corners | 8.89 6.68–11.11 6.10–11.68 | 2.65 0.65–4.65 0.12–5.18 | 11.54 7.33–15.76 6.22–16.86 | 96% |
| Possession % | 70.17 63.38–76.96 61.71–78.63 | 30.28 23.50–37.06 21.82–38.74 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 780 713–847 695–866 | 352 286–418 268–436 | 1132 999–1266 963–1302 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.91 80.88–88.94 79.59–90.23 | 70.95 66.62–75.27 65.32–76.58 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 8.34 5.50–11.17 4.74–11.93 | 11.06 8.11–14.00 7.36–14.75 | 19.39 13.61–25.18 12.11–26.68 | 23% 69% |
| Offsides | 2.14 0.98–3.30 0.68–3.60 | 2.12 1.03–3.21 0.74–3.50 | 4.26 2.01–6.52 1.42–7.11 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 0.75 0.00–1.80 0.00–2.07 | 1.49 0.36–2.62 0.07–2.91 | 2.25 0.07–4.42 0.00–4.98 | 19% 26% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.06 0.63–3.50 0.24–3.88 | 5.59 4.03–7.15 3.61–7.57 | 7.65 4.66–10.64 3.85–11.46 | 87% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.