Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
20%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.063.19safe1.17–3.100.20–1.911.37–5.02safer0.91–3.350.00–2.140.89–5.49
Shots on target
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.944.0210.97safe5.08–8.802.28–5.777.36–14.57safer4.59–9.291.82–6.236.41–15.53
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction19.6911.3131.00safe15.77–23.627.74–14.8723.51–38.48safer14.67–24.716.79–15.8321.46–40.54
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction13.317.5120.82safe10.37–16.254.83–10.1915.20–26.44safer9.54–17.084.09–10.9313.63–28.01
Blocked shots
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.483.368.85safe3.60–7.371.71–5.025.31–12.38safer3.06–7.911.22–5.514.28–13.42
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.834.2111.04safe4.62–9.052.21–6.216.83–15.25safer4.05–9.621.67–6.745.72–16.36
Possession %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction57.0643.58safe50.27–63.8536.79–50.36safer48.60–65.5235.12–52.03
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction521389910safe453–588323–456776–1044safer435–606305–473741–1079
Pass accuracy %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction72.9870.00safe68.95–77.0165.67–74.32safer67.66–78.3064.36–75.63
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3011.9924.28safe9.46–15.139.04–14.9318.50–30.06safer8.70–15.898.29–15.6817.00–31.57
Offsides
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.453.31safe0.71–3.030.35–2.541.06–5.57safer0.41–3.330.07–2.830.47–6.16
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.003.48safe0.42–2.520.87–3.131.30–5.66safer0.16–2.790.58–3.420.74–6.21
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.524.657.17safe1.08–3.953.09–6.214.18–10.16safer0.69–4.342.67–6.633.36–10.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.17–3.10 0.91–3.35 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 3.19 1.37–5.02 0.89–5.49 | 62% 20% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.94 5.08–8.80 4.59–9.29 | 4.02 2.28–5.77 1.82–6.23 | 10.97 7.36–14.57 6.41–15.53 | 77% 15% |
| Total shots | 19.69 15.77–23.62 14.67–24.71 | 11.31 7.74–14.87 6.79–15.83 | 31.00 23.51–38.48 21.46–40.54 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 13.31 10.37–16.25 9.54–17.08 | 7.51 4.83–10.19 4.09–10.93 | 20.82 15.20–26.44 13.63–28.01 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 5.48 3.60–7.37 3.06–7.91 | 3.36 1.71–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 8.85 5.31–12.38 4.28–13.42 | 71% 19% |
| Corners | 6.83 4.62–9.05 4.05–9.62 | 4.21 2.21–6.21 1.67–6.74 | 11.04 6.83–15.25 5.72–16.36 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 57.06 50.27–63.85 48.60–65.52 | 43.58 36.79–50.36 35.12–52.03 | — | 77% 20% |
| Passes | 521 453–588 435–606 | 389 323–456 305–473 | 910 776–1044 741–1079 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.98 68.95–77.01 67.66–78.30 | 70.00 65.67–74.32 64.36–75.63 | — | 63% 33% |
| Fouls | 12.30 9.46–15.13 8.70–15.89 | 11.99 9.04–14.93 8.29–15.68 | 24.28 18.50–30.06 17.00–31.57 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.45 0.35–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.31 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.16 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.21 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 4.65 3.09–6.21 2.67–6.63 | 7.17 4.18–10.16 3.36–10.97 | 16% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.