Premiership·Regular Season - 12·
Premiership·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.562.90safe0.37–2.310.70–2.411.07–4.72safer0.12–2.560.48–2.640.59–5.20
Shots on target
34%
13%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.899.03safe2.27–6.003.15–6.635.42–12.63safer1.78–6.492.68–7.104.47–13.59
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7814.1026.88safe8.85–16.7010.54–17.6619.39–34.36safer7.76–17.799.58–18.6217.34–36.41
Shots in box
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction8.229.5517.78safe5.28–11.166.87–12.2312.15–23.40safer4.45–11.996.14–12.9710.59–24.97
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.703.927.62safe1.82–5.582.27–5.584.09–11.16safer1.27–6.131.78–6.073.05–12.20
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.825.2610.08safe2.60–7.033.26–7.265.87–14.30safer2.03–7.612.73–7.804.76–15.40
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.5752.14safe41.78–55.3645.36–58.93safer40.11–57.0343.69–60.60
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction423441864safe356–491374–507730–998safer338–509357–525695–1033
Pass accuracy %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction67.9272.33safe63.89–71.9568.01–76.66safer62.60–73.2466.70–77.97
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6311.7923.42safe8.79–14.468.85–14.7417.64–29.20safer8.03–15.228.10–15.4916.13–30.71
Offsides
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.412.89safe0.31–2.630.32–2.510.63–5.14safer0.01–2.930.03–2.800.04–5.73
Yellow cards
36%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.923.66safe0.70–2.790.79–3.051.48–5.84safer0.43–3.060.50–3.340.92–6.40
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.332.846.17safe1.89–4.771.28–4.393.17–9.16safer1.51–5.150.85–4.822.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.56 0.70–2.41 0.48–2.64 | 2.90 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 33% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.27–6.00 1.78–6.49 | 4.89 3.15–6.63 2.68–7.10 | 9.03 5.42–12.63 4.47–13.59 | 34% 13% 53% |
| Total shots | 12.78 8.85–16.70 7.76–17.79 | 14.10 10.54–17.66 9.58–18.62 | 26.88 19.39–34.36 17.34–36.41 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 8.22 5.28–11.16 4.45–11.99 | 9.55 6.87–12.23 6.14–12.97 | 17.78 12.15–23.40 10.59–24.97 | 33% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.82–5.58 1.27–6.13 | 3.92 2.27–5.58 1.78–6.07 | 7.62 4.09–11.16 3.05–12.20 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.82 2.60–7.03 2.03–7.61 | 5.26 3.26–7.26 2.73–7.80 | 10.08 5.87–14.30 4.76–15.40 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 48.57 41.78–55.36 40.11–57.03 | 52.14 45.36–58.93 43.69–60.60 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 423 356–491 338–509 | 441 374–507 357–525 | 864 730–998 695–1033 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.92 63.89–71.95 62.60–73.24 | 72.33 68.01–76.66 66.70–77.97 | — | 26% 69% |
| Fouls | 11.63 8.79–14.46 8.03–15.22 | 11.79 8.85–14.74 8.10–15.49 | 23.42 17.64–29.20 16.13–30.71 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 1.41 0.32–2.51 0.03–2.80 | 2.89 0.63–5.14 0.04–5.73 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.70–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.92–6.40 | 36% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.33 1.89–4.77 1.51–5.15 | 2.84 1.28–4.39 0.85–4.82 | 6.17 3.17–9.16 2.36–9.97 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+