Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.900.912.82safe0.94–2.870.06–1.771.00–4.64safer0.68–3.120.00–2.000.52–5.12
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.023.189.20safe4.16–7.891.44–4.925.60–12.81safer3.67–8.380.97–5.394.64–13.76
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction19.619.4929.11safe15.69–23.545.93–13.0621.62–36.59safer14.60–24.634.97–14.0119.57–38.65
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.676.1217.79safe8.73–14.613.43–8.8012.16–23.41safer7.90–15.442.70–9.5310.60–24.98
Blocked shots
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.452.808.25safe3.57–7.331.14–4.454.71–11.78safer3.03–7.880.65–4.943.68–12.82
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.153.8310.98safe4.94–9.371.83–5.836.77–15.20safer4.37–9.941.30–6.375.66–16.30
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.5641.80safe51.77–65.3535.02–48.59safer50.10–67.0233.35–50.26
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction533362895safe466–600295–428761–1028safer448–618278–446725–1064
Pass accuracy %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction70.4366.61safe66.40–74.4662.28–70.93safer65.11–75.7660.97–72.24
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5611.6724.23safe9.72–15.408.73–14.6218.45–30.02safer8.97–16.157.98–15.3716.95–31.52
Offsides
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.743.86safe0.96–3.280.65–2.841.61–6.11safer0.66–3.580.36–3.121.02–6.70
Yellow cards
37%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.743.38safe0.60–2.700.61–2.861.20–5.56safer0.33–2.960.32–3.160.65–6.12
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.174.176.34safe0.74–3.612.61–5.723.35–9.33safer0.35–4.002.19–6.152.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.94–2.87 0.68–3.12 | 0.91 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 61% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.02 4.16–7.89 3.67–8.38 | 3.18 1.44–4.92 0.97–5.39 | 9.20 5.60–12.81 4.64–13.76 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 19.61 15.69–23.54 14.60–24.63 | 9.49 5.93–13.06 4.97–14.01 | 29.11 21.62–36.59 19.57–38.65 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 11.67 8.73–14.61 7.90–15.44 | 6.12 3.43–8.80 2.70–9.53 | 17.79 12.16–23.41 10.60–24.98 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 5.45 3.57–7.33 3.03–7.88 | 2.80 1.14–4.45 0.65–4.94 | 8.25 4.71–11.78 3.68–12.82 | 77% 13% |
| Corners | 7.15 4.94–9.37 4.37–9.94 | 3.83 1.83–5.83 1.30–6.37 | 10.98 6.77–15.20 5.66–16.30 | 80% |
| Possession % | 58.56 51.77–65.35 50.10–67.02 | 41.80 35.02–48.59 33.35–50.26 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 533 466–600 448–618 | 362 295–428 278–446 | 895 761–1028 725–1064 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.43 66.40–74.46 65.11–75.76 | 66.61 62.28–70.93 60.97–72.24 | — | 67% 29% |
| Fouls | 12.56 9.72–15.40 8.97–16.15 | 11.67 8.73–14.62 7.98–15.37 | 24.23 18.45–30.02 16.95–31.52 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.12 0.96–3.28 0.66–3.58 | 1.74 0.65–2.84 0.36–3.12 | 3.86 1.61–6.11 1.02–6.70 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.33–2.96 | 1.74 0.61–2.86 0.32–3.16 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.65–6.12 | 37% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.74–3.61 0.35–4.00 | 4.17 2.61–5.72 2.19–6.15 | 6.34 3.35–9.33 2.54–10.15 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+