Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.920.702.63safe0.95–2.890.00–1.560.80–4.45safer0.70–3.140.00–1.790.32–4.93
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.522.428.94safe4.65–8.380.68–4.165.33–12.54safer4.16–8.870.21–4.634.38–13.50
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction18.967.7426.69safe15.03–22.884.17–11.3019.20–34.18safer13.94–23.973.21–12.2617.15–36.23
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction11.625.0316.66safe8.68–14.572.35–7.7111.03–22.28safer7.85–15.391.61–8.459.47–23.85
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.372.337.70safe3.49–7.250.68–3.994.17–11.24safer2.94–7.790.19–4.483.13–12.27
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.153.2710.42safe4.94–9.361.27–5.276.20–14.63safer4.36–9.940.73–5.805.09–15.74
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction60.1241.06safe53.33–66.9134.27–47.84safer51.66–68.5832.60–49.51
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction539333872safe472–606266–399738–1006safer454–625249–417703–1041
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction70.6065.63safe66.57–74.6261.31–69.95safer65.27–75.9260.00–71.26
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2413.9026.14safe9.40–15.0810.96–16.8520.36–31.93safer8.65–15.8310.21–17.6018.86–33.43
Offsides
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.733.28safe0.39–2.710.63–2.821.03–5.53safer0.09–3.010.34–3.110.44–6.12
Yellow cards
21%
18%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.644.18safe0.49–2.591.51–3.772.00–6.36safer0.22–2.851.22–4.061.44–6.91
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.320.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction1.794.135.92safe0.36–3.232.57–5.682.93–8.91safer0.00–3.622.15–6.112.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 0.95–2.89 0.70–3.14 | 0.70 0.00–1.56 0.00–1.79 | 2.63 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 66% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.52 4.65–8.38 4.16–8.87 | 2.42 0.68–4.16 0.21–4.63 | 8.94 5.33–12.54 4.38–13.50 | 89% |
| Total shots | 18.96 15.03–22.88 13.94–23.97 | 7.74 4.17–11.30 3.21–12.26 | 26.69 19.20–34.18 17.15–36.23 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 11.62 8.68–14.57 7.85–15.39 | 5.03 2.35–7.71 1.61–8.45 | 16.66 11.03–22.28 9.47–23.85 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.37 3.49–7.25 2.94–7.79 | 2.33 0.68–3.99 0.19–4.48 | 7.70 4.17–11.24 3.13–12.27 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.15 4.94–9.36 4.36–9.94 | 3.27 1.27–5.27 0.73–5.80 | 10.42 6.20–14.63 5.09–15.74 | 86% |
| Possession % | 60.12 53.33–66.91 51.66–68.58 | 41.06 34.27–47.84 32.60–49.51 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 539 472–606 454–625 | 333 266–399 249–417 | 872 738–1006 703–1041 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.60 66.57–74.62 65.27–75.92 | 65.63 61.31–69.95 60.00–71.26 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 12.24 9.40–15.08 8.65–15.83 | 13.90 10.96–16.85 10.21–17.60 | 26.14 20.36–31.93 18.86–33.43 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.73 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.11 | 3.28 1.03–5.53 0.44–6.12 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 2.64 1.51–3.77 1.22–4.06 | 4.18 2.00–6.36 1.44–6.91 | 21% 18% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 1.79 0.36–3.23 0.00–3.62 | 4.13 2.57–5.68 2.15–6.11 | 5.92 2.93–8.91 2.12–9.73 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+