Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.570.853.41safe1.60–3.530.00–1.701.59–5.23safer1.35–3.780.00–1.931.11–5.71
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.873.3310.20safe5.01–8.731.59–5.086.60–13.81safer4.52–9.221.13–5.545.64–14.76
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction18.109.7027.80safe14.18–22.036.13–13.2620.31–35.29safer13.09–23.125.17–14.2218.26–37.34
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction12.685.9818.66safe9.74–15.633.30–8.6613.04–24.29safer8.91–16.462.56–9.4011.47–25.85
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.752.707.44safe2.86–6.631.04–4.353.91–10.98safer2.32–7.170.55–4.842.87–12.01
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.513.5211.03safe5.30–9.731.52–5.526.82–15.24safer4.73–10.300.98–6.055.71–16.35
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction58.7040.84safe51.91–65.4934.06–47.63safer50.24–67.1632.39–49.30
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction6134191032safe546–681352–485899–1166safer528–699335–503863–1202
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction76.2170.81safe72.18–80.2466.49–75.14safer70.89–81.5365.18–76.45
Fouls
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction11.969.7421.70safe9.13–14.806.79–12.6815.92–27.48safer8.37–15.566.04–13.4314.41–28.99
Offsides
54%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.243.21safe0.80–3.120.15–2.340.95–5.46safer0.50–3.430.00–2.630.37–6.05
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.883.29safe0.36–2.460.75–3.011.12–5.47safer0.10–2.730.46–3.300.56–6.03
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.364.636.99safe0.93–3.803.07–6.184.00–9.98safer0.54–4.192.65–6.613.19–10.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.57 1.60–3.53 1.35–3.78 | 0.85 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 3.41 1.59–5.23 1.11–5.71 | 74% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.87 5.01–8.73 4.52–9.22 | 3.33 1.59–5.08 1.13–5.54 | 10.20 6.60–13.81 5.64–14.76 | 83% |
| Total shots | 18.10 14.18–22.03 13.09–23.12 | 9.70 6.13–13.26 5.17–14.22 | 27.80 20.31–35.29 18.26–37.34 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 12.68 9.74–15.63 8.91–16.46 | 5.98 3.30–8.66 2.56–9.40 | 18.66 13.04–24.29 11.47–25.85 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.75 2.86–6.63 2.32–7.17 | 2.70 1.04–4.35 0.55–4.84 | 7.44 3.91–10.98 2.87–12.01 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 7.51 5.30–9.73 4.73–10.30 | 3.52 1.52–5.52 0.98–6.05 | 11.03 6.82–15.24 5.71–16.35 | 86% |
| Possession % | 58.70 51.91–65.49 50.24–67.16 | 40.84 34.06–47.63 32.39–49.30 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 613 546–681 528–699 | 419 352–485 335–503 | 1032 899–1166 863–1202 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.21 72.18–80.24 70.89–81.53 | 70.81 66.49–75.14 65.18–76.45 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 11.96 9.13–14.80 8.37–15.56 | 9.74 6.79–12.68 6.04–13.43 | 21.70 15.92–27.48 14.41–28.99 | 64% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.43 | 1.24 0.15–2.34 0.00–2.63 | 3.21 0.95–5.46 0.37–6.05 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.10–2.73 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.29 1.12–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 4.63 3.07–6.18 2.65–6.61 | 6.99 4.00–9.98 3.19–10.79 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.