Premiership·Regular Season - 14·
Premiership·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.032.063.09safe0.06–2.001.21–2.921.27–4.91safer0.00–2.250.98–3.140.79–5.39
Shots on target
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.125.558.66safe1.25–4.983.80–7.295.06–12.27safer0.76–5.473.34–7.764.10–13.22
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3415.6826.02safe6.41–14.2612.12–19.2418.53–33.51safer5.32–15.3511.16–20.2016.48–35.56
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.1310.8917.03safe3.19–9.088.21–13.5811.41–22.65safer2.36–9.917.48–14.319.84–24.22
Blocked shots
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.964.787.75safe1.08–4.853.13–6.444.21–11.28safer0.54–5.392.64–6.933.18–12.32
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.256.1010.35safe2.03–6.464.10–8.106.14–14.56safer1.46–7.043.57–8.635.03–15.67
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction43.7057.67safe36.91–50.4950.88–64.45safer35.24–52.1649.21–66.13
Passes
17%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction384496880safe317–451430–563747–1014safer299–469412–580711–1050
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction60.6574.15safe56.63–64.6869.83–78.47safer55.33–65.9868.52–79.78
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8712.4024.26safe9.03–14.709.45–15.3418.48–30.05safer8.27–15.468.71–16.0916.98–31.55
Offsides
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.923.27safe0.19–2.520.83–3.011.02–5.53safer0.00–2.820.54–3.300.43–6.12
Yellow cards
36%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.783.42safe0.59–2.690.65–2.911.24–5.60safer0.32–2.960.36–3.200.68–6.15
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
67%
14%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.712.165.87safe2.27–5.140.60–3.712.87–8.86safer1.88–5.530.18–4.142.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.06–2.00 0.00–2.25 | 2.06 1.21–2.92 0.98–3.14 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 18% 21% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.12 1.25–4.98 0.76–5.47 | 5.55 3.80–7.29 3.34–7.76 | 8.66 5.06–12.27 4.10–13.22 | 16% 74% |
| Total shots | 10.34 6.41–14.26 5.32–15.35 | 15.68 12.12–19.24 11.16–20.20 | 26.02 18.53–33.51 16.48–35.56 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 6.13 3.19–9.08 2.36–9.91 | 10.89 8.21–13.58 7.48–14.31 | 17.03 11.41–22.65 9.84–24.22 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 2.96 1.08–4.85 0.54–5.39 | 4.78 3.13–6.44 2.64–6.93 | 7.75 4.21–11.28 3.18–12.32 | 20% 68% |
| Corners | 4.25 2.03–6.46 1.46–7.04 | 6.10 4.10–8.10 3.57–8.63 | 10.35 6.14–14.56 5.03–15.67 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 43.70 36.91–50.49 35.24–52.16 | 57.67 50.88–64.45 49.21–66.13 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 384 317–451 299–469 | 496 430–563 412–580 | 880 747–1014 711–1050 | 17% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.65 56.63–64.68 55.33–65.98 | 74.15 69.83–78.47 68.52–79.78 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.87 9.03–14.70 8.27–15.46 | 12.40 9.45–15.34 8.71–16.09 | 24.26 18.48–30.05 16.98–31.55 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.35 0.19–2.52 0.00–2.82 | 1.92 0.83–3.01 0.54–3.30 | 3.27 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.96 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.68–6.15 | 36% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.71 2.27–5.14 1.88–5.53 | 2.16 0.60–3.71 0.18–4.14 | 5.87 2.87–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 67% 14% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+