Premiership·Regular Season - 14·
Premiership·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
28%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.082.36safe0.32–2.250.22–1.930.54–4.19safer0.07–2.500.00–2.160.06–4.67
Shots on target
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.283.637.91safe2.42–6.141.88–5.374.30–11.51safer1.93–6.631.42–5.843.35–12.47
Total shots
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5811.7525.33safe9.65–17.508.19–15.3117.84–32.82safer8.56–18.607.23–16.2715.79–34.87
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.207.5415.74safe5.26–11.144.86–10.2210.12–21.36safer4.43–11.974.12–10.968.55–22.93
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.733.577.30safe1.85–5.611.92–5.223.77–10.84safer1.31–6.161.42–5.712.73–11.87
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.414.569.98safe3.20–7.632.56–6.565.76–14.19safer2.63–8.202.03–7.104.66–15.30
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction51.2150.03safe44.42–58.0043.25–56.82safer42.75–59.6741.58–58.49
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction451406856safe384–518339–472723–990safer366–536322–489687–1026
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction66.6368.42safe62.60–70.6664.09–72.74safer61.31–71.9562.78–74.05
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1813.5625.74safe9.34–15.0210.62–16.5119.96–31.52safer8.58–15.779.87–17.2518.45–33.03
Offsides
32%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.813.30safe0.33–2.650.72–2.911.05–5.55safer0.02–2.950.43–3.200.46–6.14
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.224.34safe1.07–3.161.09–3.352.16–6.52safer0.80–3.430.80–3.641.60–7.07
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.065.49safe0.99–3.861.51–4.622.49–8.48safer0.60–4.251.08–5.041.68–9.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.32–2.25 0.07–2.50 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.36 0.54–4.19 0.06–4.67 | 41% 28% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.28 2.42–6.14 1.93–6.63 | 3.63 1.88–5.37 1.42–5.84 | 7.91 4.30–11.51 3.35–12.47 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.58 9.65–17.50 8.56–18.60 | 11.75 8.19–15.31 7.23–16.27 | 25.33 17.84–32.82 15.79–34.87 | 60% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.20 5.26–11.14 4.43–11.97 | 7.54 4.86–10.22 4.12–10.96 | 15.74 10.12–21.36 8.55–22.93 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.61 1.31–6.16 | 3.57 1.92–5.22 1.42–5.71 | 7.30 3.77–10.84 2.73–11.87 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.20–7.63 2.63–8.20 | 4.56 2.56–6.56 2.03–7.10 | 9.98 5.76–14.19 4.66–15.30 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 51.21 44.42–58.00 42.75–59.67 | 50.03 43.25–56.82 41.58–58.49 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 451 384–518 366–536 | 406 339–472 322–489 | 856 723–990 687–1026 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.63 62.60–70.66 61.31–71.95 | 68.42 64.09–72.74 62.78–74.05 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 12.18 9.34–15.02 8.58–15.77 | 13.56 10.62–16.51 9.87–17.25 | 25.74 19.96–31.52 18.45–33.03 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.02–2.95 | 1.81 0.72–2.91 0.43–3.20 | 3.30 1.05–5.55 0.46–6.14 | 32% 23% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.16 0.80–3.43 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.34 2.16–6.52 1.60–7.07 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.99–3.86 0.60–4.25 | 3.06 1.51–4.62 1.08–5.04 | 5.49 2.49–8.48 1.68–9.29 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+