Premiership·Regular Season - 14·
Premiership·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.372.79safe0.45–2.390.52–2.220.96–4.61safer0.20–2.640.29–2.450.48–5.09
Shots on target
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.545.359.89safe2.68–6.413.60–7.096.29–13.50safer2.19–6.903.14–7.565.33–14.45
Total shots
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7214.9228.64safe9.80–17.6511.36–18.4821.16–36.13safer8.71–18.7410.40–19.4419.10–38.18
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.579.8518.42safe5.63–11.517.17–12.5312.79–24.04safer4.80–12.346.43–13.2711.23–25.61
Blocked shots
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.744.988.72safe1.85–5.623.33–6.635.18–12.25safer1.31–6.162.83–7.124.14–13.29
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.735.1710.90safe3.52–7.953.17–7.176.69–15.12safer2.95–8.522.63–7.705.58–16.22
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction56.0144.28safe49.22–62.8037.49–51.06safer47.55–64.4735.82–52.73
Passes
85%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction522396918safe455–590329–462784–1052safer437–608312–480749–1087
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction72.6171.29safe68.58–76.6466.96–75.61safer67.29–77.9365.65–76.92
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9112.6425.55safe10.07–15.759.70–15.5819.77–31.33safer9.32–16.508.95–16.3318.26–32.84
Offsides
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.513.44safe0.77–3.090.42–2.601.18–5.69safer0.47–3.390.13–2.890.59–6.28
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.953.82safe0.81–2.910.82–3.081.64–5.99safer0.55–3.180.53–3.371.08–6.55
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.413.056.46safe1.97–4.841.50–4.613.47–9.46safer1.58–5.231.07–5.042.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.37 0.52–2.22 0.29–2.45 | 2.79 0.96–4.61 0.48–5.09 | 38% 25% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.54 2.68–6.41 2.19–6.90 | 5.35 3.60–7.09 3.14–7.56 | 9.89 6.29–13.50 5.33–14.45 | 34% 54% |
| Total shots | 13.72 9.80–17.65 8.71–18.74 | 14.92 11.36–18.48 10.40–19.44 | 28.64 21.16–36.13 19.10–38.18 | 38% 55% |
| Shots in box | 8.57 5.63–11.51 4.80–12.34 | 9.85 7.17–12.53 6.43–13.27 | 18.42 12.79–24.04 11.23–25.61 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.74 1.85–5.62 1.31–6.16 | 4.98 3.33–6.63 2.83–7.12 | 8.72 5.18–12.25 4.14–13.29 | 28% 60% |
| Corners | 5.73 3.52–7.95 2.95–8.52 | 5.17 3.17–7.17 2.63–7.70 | 10.90 6.69–15.12 5.58–16.22 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 56.01 49.22–62.80 47.55–64.47 | 44.28 37.49–51.06 35.82–52.73 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 522 455–590 437–608 | 396 329–462 312–480 | 918 784–1052 749–1087 | 85% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.61 68.58–76.64 67.29–77.93 | 71.29 66.96–75.61 65.65–76.92 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 12.91 10.07–15.75 9.32–16.50 | 12.64 9.70–15.58 8.95–16.33 | 25.55 19.77–31.33 18.26–32.84 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.77–3.09 0.47–3.39 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.44 1.18–5.69 0.59–6.28 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.55–3.18 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.82 1.64–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.41 1.97–4.84 1.58–5.23 | 3.05 1.50–4.61 1.07–5.04 | 6.46 3.47–9.46 2.66–10.27 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.