Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
27%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.082.48safe0.43–2.370.23–1.940.66–4.31safer0.18–2.620.00–2.170.18–4.78
Shots on target
58%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.723.628.33safe2.85–6.581.88–5.364.73–11.94safer2.36–7.071.41–5.833.77–12.89
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6310.7225.34safe10.70–18.557.15–14.2817.85–32.83safer9.61–19.646.19–15.2415.80–34.88
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.356.6215.97safe6.41–12.293.94–9.3010.35–21.59safer5.58–13.123.20–10.048.78–23.16
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.392.847.22safe2.50–6.271.18–4.493.69–10.76safer1.96–6.810.69–4.982.65–11.79
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction6.104.6310.73safe3.88–8.312.63–6.636.51–14.94safer3.31–8.882.10–7.165.41–16.05
Possession %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction53.8046.63safe47.01–60.5939.84–53.41safer45.34–62.2638.17–55.08
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction458398856safe391–525331–464722–990safer373–543314–482687–1025
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction68.6667.91safe64.63–72.6963.59–72.24safer63.34–73.9862.28–73.54
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5311.5724.10safe9.69–15.368.63–14.5118.31–29.88safer8.93–16.127.88–15.2616.81–31.38
Offsides
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.303.39safe0.93–3.250.21–2.401.14–5.64safer0.63–3.550.00–2.680.55–6.23
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.863.72safe0.81–2.910.73–2.991.54–5.90safer0.54–3.170.44–3.280.99–6.46
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
28%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.275.70safe0.99–3.861.71–4.832.71–8.69safer0.60–4.251.29–5.251.89–9.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 2.48 0.66–4.31 0.18–4.78 | 44% 27% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.72 2.85–6.58 2.36–7.07 | 3.62 1.88–5.36 1.41–5.83 | 8.33 4.73–11.94 3.77–12.89 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.63 10.70–18.55 9.61–19.64 | 10.72 7.15–14.28 6.19–15.24 | 25.34 17.85–32.83 15.80–34.88 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 9.35 6.41–12.29 5.58–13.12 | 6.62 3.94–9.30 3.20–10.04 | 15.97 10.35–21.59 8.78–23.16 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.39 2.50–6.27 1.96–6.81 | 2.84 1.18–4.49 0.69–4.98 | 7.22 3.69–10.76 2.65–11.79 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 6.10 3.88–8.31 3.31–8.88 | 4.63 2.63–6.63 2.10–7.16 | 10.73 6.51–14.94 5.41–16.05 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 53.80 47.01–60.59 45.34–62.26 | 46.63 39.84–53.41 38.17–55.08 | — | 64% 31% |
| Passes | 458 391–525 373–543 | 398 331–464 314–482 | 856 722–990 687–1025 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.66 64.63–72.69 63.34–73.98 | 67.91 63.59–72.24 62.28–73.54 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 12.53 9.69–15.36 8.93–16.12 | 11.57 8.63–14.51 7.88–15.26 | 24.10 18.31–29.88 16.81–31.38 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.09 0.93–3.25 0.63–3.55 | 1.30 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.68 | 3.39 1.14–5.64 0.55–6.23 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.99–6.46 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.43 0.99–3.86 0.60–4.25 | 3.27 1.71–4.83 1.29–5.25 | 5.70 2.71–8.69 1.89–9.50 | 28% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.