Premiership·Regular Season - 15·
Premiership·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.183.05safe0.90–2.840.33–2.031.23–4.87safer0.65–3.090.10–2.260.75–5.35
Shots on target
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.864.4710.34safe4.00–7.722.73–6.226.73–13.94safer3.51–8.212.27–6.685.77–14.90
Total shots
68%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5312.5628.10safe11.61–19.469.00–16.1320.61–35.58safer10.52–20.558.04–17.0918.56–37.63
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.718.5318.24safe6.77–12.655.84–11.2112.61–23.86safer5.94–13.485.11–11.9411.05–25.43
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.133.627.75safe2.25–6.011.97–5.274.22–11.29safer1.71–6.561.47–5.763.18–12.32
Corners
64%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.594.9011.50safe4.38–8.812.90–6.907.28–15.71safer3.81–9.382.37–7.436.17–16.82
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction58.0442.23safe51.25–64.8335.44–49.01safer49.58–66.5033.77–50.68
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction573393965safe506–640326–459832–1099safer488–658309–476796–1135
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction75.7171.16safe71.68–79.7466.83–75.48safer70.39–81.0365.52–76.79
Fouls
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4211.9422.36safe7.59–13.268.99–14.8816.58–28.14safer6.83–14.028.25–15.6315.07–29.65
Offsides
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.823.84safe0.86–3.180.72–2.911.59–6.09safer0.56–3.480.43–3.201.00–6.68
Yellow cards
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.863.23safe0.32–2.410.73–2.991.05–5.41safer0.05–2.680.44–3.280.49–5.96
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.746.65safe1.47–4.352.18–5.293.65–9.64safer1.09–4.731.76–5.722.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.90–2.84 0.65–3.09 | 1.18 0.33–2.03 0.10–2.26 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 54% 23% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.86 4.00–7.72 3.51–8.21 | 4.47 2.73–6.22 2.27–6.68 | 10.34 6.73–13.94 5.77–14.90 | 61% 28% |
| Total shots | 15.53 11.61–19.46 10.52–20.55 | 12.56 9.00–16.13 8.04–17.09 | 28.10 20.61–35.58 18.56–37.63 | 68% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.71 6.77–12.65 5.94–13.48 | 8.53 5.84–11.21 5.11–11.94 | 18.24 12.61–23.86 11.05–25.43 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.13 2.25–6.01 1.71–6.56 | 3.62 1.97–5.27 1.47–5.76 | 7.75 4.22–11.29 3.18–12.32 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 6.59 4.38–8.81 3.81–9.38 | 4.90 2.90–6.90 2.37–7.43 | 11.50 7.28–15.71 6.17–16.82 | 64% 26% |
| Possession % | 58.04 51.25–64.83 49.58–66.50 | 42.23 35.44–49.01 33.77–50.68 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 573 506–640 488–658 | 393 326–459 309–476 | 965 832–1099 796–1135 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.71 71.68–79.74 70.39–81.03 | 71.16 66.83–75.48 65.52–76.79 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 10.42 7.59–13.26 6.83–14.02 | 11.94 8.99–14.88 8.25–15.63 | 22.36 16.58–28.14 15.07–29.65 | 33% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 1.82 0.72–2.91 0.43–3.20 | 3.84 1.59–6.09 1.00–6.68 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.41 0.05–2.68 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.49–5.96 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.47–4.35 1.09–4.73 | 3.74 2.18–5.29 1.76–5.72 | 6.65 3.65–9.64 2.84–10.45 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.