Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
22%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction1.860.752.62safe0.89–2.830.00–1.610.79–4.44safer0.64–3.080.00–1.840.31–4.92
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.162.758.91safe4.30–8.031.00–4.495.30–12.51safer3.81–8.510.54–4.954.35–13.47
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction17.328.1825.50safe13.40–21.254.62–11.7418.02–32.99safer12.31–22.343.66–12.7015.97–35.04
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.535.5017.04safe8.59–14.482.82–8.1911.42–22.66safer7.76–15.312.09–8.929.85–24.23
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.912.527.43safe3.03–6.790.87–4.183.90–10.97safer2.48–7.340.38–4.672.86–12.00
Corners
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.403.6010.00safe4.19–8.611.60–5.605.79–14.22safer3.61–9.191.07–6.144.68–15.33
Possession %
73%
24%
homeawayprediction55.8344.61safe49.04–62.6237.83–51.40safer47.37–64.2936.16–53.07
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction470381851safe403–537315–448718–985safer385–555297–465682–1021
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction67.6866.44safe63.65–71.7162.11–70.76safer62.36–73.0060.80–72.07
Fouls
46%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2914.3628.65safe11.45–17.1211.42–17.3022.86–34.43safer10.69–17.8810.67–18.0521.36–35.93
Offsides
40%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.673.38safe0.55–2.880.57–2.761.13–5.63safer0.25–3.180.28–3.050.54–6.22
Yellow cards
21%
17%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.814.45safe0.59–2.691.68–3.942.27–6.62safer0.32–2.951.39–4.231.71–7.18
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.140.21safe0.00–0.230.00–0.330.00–0.55safer0.00–0.380.00–0.460.00–0.84
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.084.006.08safe0.64–3.512.45–5.563.09–9.07safer0.25–3.902.02–5.982.27–9.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.86 0.89–2.83 0.64–3.08 | 0.75 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 2.62 0.79–4.44 0.31–4.92 | 64% 22% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.16 4.30–8.03 3.81–8.51 | 2.75 1.00–4.49 0.54–4.95 | 8.91 5.30–12.51 4.35–13.47 | 84% |
| Total shots | 17.32 13.40–21.25 12.31–22.34 | 8.18 4.62–11.74 3.66–12.70 | 25.50 18.02–32.99 15.97–35.04 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 11.53 8.59–14.48 7.76–15.31 | 5.50 2.82–8.19 2.09–8.92 | 17.04 11.42–22.66 9.85–24.23 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.91 3.03–6.79 2.48–7.34 | 2.52 0.87–4.18 0.38–4.67 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.40 4.19–8.61 3.61–9.19 | 3.60 1.60–5.60 1.07–6.14 | 10.00 5.79–14.22 4.68–15.33 | 77% 15% |
| Possession % | 55.83 49.04–62.62 47.37–64.29 | 44.61 37.83–51.40 36.16–53.07 | — | 73% 24% |
| Passes | 470 403–537 385–555 | 381 315–448 297–465 | 851 718–985 682–1021 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.68 63.65–71.71 62.36–73.00 | 66.44 62.11–70.76 60.80–72.07 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 14.29 11.45–17.12 10.69–17.88 | 14.36 11.42–17.30 10.67–18.05 | 28.65 22.86–34.43 21.36–35.93 | 46% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.55–2.88 0.25–3.18 | 1.67 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.05 | 3.38 1.13–5.63 0.54–6.22 | 40% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.95 | 2.81 1.68–3.94 1.39–4.23 | 4.45 2.27–6.62 1.71–7.18 | 21% 17% 62% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.08 0.64–3.51 0.25–3.90 | 4.00 2.45–5.56 2.02–5.98 | 6.08 3.09–9.07 2.27–9.88 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.