Premiership·Regular Season - 15·
Premiership·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.352.66safe0.34–2.280.50–2.210.84–4.49safer0.09–2.530.27–2.430.36–4.97
Shots on target
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.634.118.74safe2.76–6.492.37–5.855.13–12.34safer2.28–6.981.90–6.324.17–13.30
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2412.4326.68safe10.32–18.178.87–15.9919.19–34.16safer9.23–19.267.91–16.9517.14–36.21
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction9.008.2417.25safe6.06–11.955.56–10.9211.62–22.87safer5.23–12.784.83–11.6610.06–24.44
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.433.718.15safe2.55–6.322.06–5.364.61–11.68safer2.01–6.861.57–5.863.57–12.72
Corners
55%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.744.8710.61safe3.53–7.962.87–6.876.40–14.82safer2.96–8.532.33–7.405.29–15.93
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.7148.07safe45.92–59.5041.28–54.85safer44.25–61.1739.61–56.52
Passes
65%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction458410869safe391–526344–477735–1003safer373–544326–494699–1038
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction67.0168.04safe62.98–71.0463.71–72.36safer61.69–72.3362.41–73.67
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0112.8924.91safe9.18–14.859.95–15.8419.12–30.69safer8.42–15.619.20–16.5917.62–32.19
Offsides
38%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.743.47safe0.56–2.880.65–2.841.21–5.72safer0.26–3.190.36–3.120.62–6.31
Yellow cards
39%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.993.92safe0.89–2.990.86–3.121.74–6.10safer0.62–3.250.57–3.411.19–6.66
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.326.11safe1.35–4.221.77–4.883.12–9.10safer0.96–4.611.34–5.302.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.35 0.50–2.21 0.27–2.43 | 2.66 0.84–4.49 0.36–4.97 | 36% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.63 2.76–6.49 2.28–6.98 | 4.11 2.37–5.85 1.90–6.32 | 8.74 5.13–12.34 4.17–13.30 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 14.24 10.32–18.17 9.23–19.26 | 12.43 8.87–15.99 7.91–16.95 | 26.68 19.19–34.16 17.14–36.21 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 9.00 6.06–11.95 5.23–12.78 | 8.24 5.56–10.92 4.83–11.66 | 17.25 11.62–22.87 10.06–24.44 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 4.43 2.55–6.32 2.01–6.86 | 3.71 2.06–5.36 1.57–5.86 | 8.15 4.61–11.68 3.57–12.72 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.74 3.53–7.96 2.96–8.53 | 4.87 2.87–6.87 2.33–7.40 | 10.61 6.40–14.82 5.29–15.93 | 55% 34% |
| Possession % | 52.71 45.92–59.50 44.25–61.17 | 48.07 41.28–54.85 39.61–56.52 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 458 391–526 373–544 | 410 344–477 326–494 | 869 735–1003 699–1038 | 65% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.01 62.98–71.04 61.69–72.33 | 68.04 63.71–72.36 62.41–73.67 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 12.01 9.18–14.85 8.42–15.61 | 12.89 9.95–15.84 9.20–16.59 | 24.91 19.12–30.69 17.62–32.19 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.19 | 1.74 0.65–2.84 0.36–3.12 | 3.47 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 38% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.92 1.74–6.10 1.19–6.66 | 39% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.32 1.77–4.88 1.34–5.30 | 6.11 3.12–9.10 2.31–9.92 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+