Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction0.912.243.15safe0.00–1.881.38–3.091.32–4.97safer0.00–2.131.16–3.320.84–5.45
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.296.409.69safe1.43–5.154.66–8.156.09–13.30safer0.94–5.644.19–8.615.13–14.25
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9316.9827.91safe7.01–14.8613.42–20.5420.42–35.40safer5.92–15.9512.46–21.5018.37–37.45
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7611.1517.91safe3.82–9.708.47–13.8312.29–23.54safer2.99–10.537.74–14.5710.72–25.10
Blocked shots
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.154.978.13safe1.27–5.043.32–6.634.59–11.66safer0.73–5.582.83–7.123.56–12.70
Corners
22%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.196.2110.40safe1.98–6.404.21–8.216.19–14.61safer1.40–6.983.68–8.745.08–15.72
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction38.4562.98safe31.66–45.2456.20–69.77safer29.99–46.9154.53–71.44
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction370596966safe303–438530–662833–1100safer285–456512–680797–1136
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction61.4077.93safe57.37–65.4373.61–82.26safer56.07–66.7272.30–83.56
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6211.9522.56safe7.78–13.469.00–14.8916.78–28.35safer7.03–14.218.25–15.6415.28–29.85
Offsides
25%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.193.63safe0.29–2.611.10–3.281.38–5.89safer0.00–2.910.81–3.570.79–6.48
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.763.32safe0.51–2.610.63–2.891.14–5.50safer0.25–2.880.34–3.180.59–6.06
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.772.226.00safe2.34–5.210.67–3.783.00–8.99safer1.95–5.600.24–4.202.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.91 0.00–1.88 0.00–2.13 | 2.24 1.38–3.09 1.16–3.32 | 3.15 1.32–4.97 0.84–5.45 | 14% 19% 68% |
| Shots on target | 3.29 1.43–5.15 0.94–5.64 | 6.40 4.66–8.15 4.19–8.61 | 9.69 6.09–13.30 5.13–14.25 | 80% |
| Total shots | 10.93 7.01–14.86 5.92–15.95 | 16.98 13.42–20.54 12.46–21.50 | 27.91 20.42–35.40 18.37–37.45 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 6.76 3.82–9.70 2.99–10.53 | 11.15 8.47–13.83 7.74–14.57 | 17.91 12.29–23.54 10.72–25.10 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.15 1.27–5.04 0.73–5.58 | 4.97 3.32–6.63 2.83–7.12 | 8.13 4.59–11.66 3.56–12.70 | 21% 68% |
| Corners | 4.19 1.98–6.40 1.40–6.98 | 6.21 4.21–8.21 3.68–8.74 | 10.40 6.19–14.61 5.08–15.72 | 22% 68% |
| Possession % | 38.45 31.66–45.24 29.99–46.91 | 62.98 56.20–69.77 54.53–71.44 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 370 303–438 285–456 | 596 530–662 512–680 | 966 833–1100 797–1136 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.40 57.37–65.43 56.07–66.72 | 77.93 73.61–82.26 72.30–83.56 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 10.62 7.78–13.46 7.03–14.21 | 11.95 9.00–14.89 8.25–15.64 | 22.56 16.78–28.35 15.28–29.85 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 2.19 1.10–3.28 0.81–3.57 | 3.63 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 25% 20% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.32 1.14–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.77 2.34–5.21 1.95–5.60 | 2.22 0.67–3.78 0.24–4.20 | 6.00 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 66% 14% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.