Premiership·Regular Season - 16·
Premiership·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
21%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction1.920.832.75safe0.95–2.890.00–1.680.93–4.57safer0.70–3.140.00–1.910.45–5.05
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.882.728.61safe4.02–7.750.98–4.475.00–12.21safer3.53–8.230.52–4.934.05–13.17
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.119.0527.16safe14.19–22.035.49–12.6119.67–34.65safer13.09–23.134.53–13.5717.62–36.70
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.015.7316.74safe8.06–13.953.05–8.4111.12–22.36safer7.23–14.782.31–9.159.55–23.93
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.942.797.73safe3.06–6.821.14–4.444.19–11.26safer2.51–7.360.64–4.933.16–12.30
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.683.7010.37safe4.46–8.891.69–5.706.16–14.58safer3.89–9.461.16–6.235.05–15.69
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction58.3142.90safe51.52–65.1036.12–49.69safer49.85–66.7734.45–51.36
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction538367904safe471–605300–433771–1038safer453–623283–451735–1074
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction72.8167.53safe68.78–76.8463.21–71.85safer67.49–78.1361.90–73.16
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1213.1724.29safe8.29–13.9610.23–16.1118.51–30.07safer7.53–14.729.48–16.8617.01–31.58
Offsides
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.292.86safe0.41–2.740.19–2.380.61–5.11safer0.11–3.040.00–2.670.02–5.70
Yellow cards
22%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.433.88safe0.40–2.491.30–3.561.70–6.05safer0.13–2.761.01–3.851.14–6.61
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction1.903.835.73safe0.46–3.332.27–5.392.74–8.72safer0.07–3.721.85–5.811.92–9.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 0.95–2.89 0.70–3.14 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 63% 21% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.88 4.02–7.75 3.53–8.23 | 2.72 0.98–4.47 0.52–4.93 | 8.61 5.00–12.21 4.05–13.17 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.11 14.19–22.03 13.09–23.13 | 9.05 5.49–12.61 4.53–13.57 | 27.16 19.67–34.65 17.62–36.70 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.01 8.06–13.95 7.23–14.78 | 5.73 3.05–8.41 2.31–9.15 | 16.74 11.12–22.36 9.55–23.93 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.94 3.06–6.82 2.51–7.36 | 2.79 1.14–4.44 0.64–4.93 | 7.73 4.19–11.26 3.16–12.30 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 6.68 4.46–8.89 3.89–9.46 | 3.70 1.69–5.70 1.16–6.23 | 10.37 6.16–14.58 5.05–15.69 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 58.31 51.52–65.10 49.85–66.77 | 42.90 36.12–49.69 34.45–51.36 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 538 471–605 453–623 | 367 300–433 283–451 | 904 771–1038 735–1074 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.81 68.78–76.84 67.49–78.13 | 67.53 63.21–71.85 61.90–73.16 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 11.12 8.29–13.96 7.53–14.72 | 13.17 10.23–16.11 9.48–16.86 | 24.29 18.51–30.07 17.01–31.58 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.74 0.11–3.04 | 1.29 0.19–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 2.86 0.61–5.11 0.02–5.70 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 3.88 1.70–6.05 1.14–6.61 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.90 0.46–3.33 0.07–3.72 | 3.83 2.27–5.39 1.85–5.81 | 5.73 2.74–8.72 1.92–9.53 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.