Premiership·Regular Season - 16·
Premiership·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.042.74safe0.74–2.670.18–1.890.92–4.57safer0.49–2.930.00–2.120.44–5.05
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.783.439.21safe3.92–7.641.68–5.175.60–12.81safer3.43–8.131.22–5.634.65–13.77
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.339.9527.28safe13.40–21.256.39–13.5119.79–34.77safer12.31–22.355.43–14.4717.74–36.82
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.916.7217.63safe7.97–13.854.04–9.4012.00–23.25safer7.14–14.683.30–10.1310.44–24.82
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.502.788.28safe3.62–7.391.13–4.434.75–11.82safer3.08–7.930.64–4.933.71–12.85
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.663.9910.65safe4.45–8.871.99–5.996.44–14.87safer3.87–9.451.46–6.535.33–15.97
Possession %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction53.3446.52safe46.55–60.1339.73–53.30safer44.88–61.8038.06–54.97
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction453394847safe386–520328–460713–981safer368–538310–478677–1016
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction68.7068.98safe64.67–72.7364.65–73.30safer63.38–74.0263.34–74.61
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8113.1725.97safe9.97–15.6410.22–16.1120.19–31.75safer9.21–16.409.47–16.8618.69–33.26
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.733.21safe0.32–2.640.63–2.820.96–5.47safer0.02–2.950.35–3.110.37–6.05
Yellow cards
22%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.413.86safe0.40–2.501.28–3.541.68–6.04safer0.14–2.770.99–3.831.13–6.60
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.130.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.746.24safe1.07–3.942.18–5.293.25–9.23safer0.68–4.331.76–5.722.44–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.74–2.67 0.49–2.93 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.74 0.92–4.57 0.44–5.05 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.78 3.92–7.64 3.43–8.13 | 3.43 1.68–5.17 1.22–5.63 | 9.21 5.60–12.81 4.65–13.77 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 17.33 13.40–21.25 12.31–22.35 | 9.95 6.39–13.51 5.43–14.47 | 27.28 19.79–34.77 17.74–36.82 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 10.91 7.97–13.85 7.14–14.68 | 6.72 4.04–9.40 3.30–10.13 | 17.63 12.00–23.25 10.44–24.82 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 5.50 3.62–7.39 3.08–7.93 | 2.78 1.13–4.43 0.64–4.93 | 8.28 4.75–11.82 3.71–12.85 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.66 4.45–8.87 3.87–9.45 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.46–6.53 | 10.65 6.44–14.87 5.33–15.97 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 53.34 46.55–60.13 44.88–61.80 | 46.52 39.73–53.30 38.06–54.97 | — | 63% 32% |
| Passes | 453 386–520 368–538 | 394 328–460 310–478 | 847 713–981 677–1016 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.70 64.67–72.73 63.38–74.02 | 68.98 64.65–73.30 63.34–74.61 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 12.81 9.97–15.64 9.21–16.40 | 13.17 10.22–16.11 9.47–16.86 | 25.97 20.19–31.75 18.69–33.26 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.95 | 1.73 0.63–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 3.21 0.96–5.47 0.37–6.05 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.14–2.77 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 3.86 1.68–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.07–3.94 0.68–4.33 | 3.74 2.18–5.29 1.76–5.72 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.44–10.04 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.