Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.322.59safe0.30–2.240.46–2.170.77–4.41safer0.05–2.490.23–2.400.29–4.89
Shots on target
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.764.498.24safe1.89–5.622.74–6.234.64–11.85safer1.40–6.112.28–6.703.68–12.80
Total shots
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3714.3626.73safe8.44–16.2910.80–17.9319.24–34.22safer7.35–17.389.84–18.8917.19–36.27
Shots in box
31%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction7.629.1116.73safe4.68–10.566.43–11.7911.11–22.35safer3.85–11.395.69–12.539.54–23.92
Blocked shots
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.304.287.58safe1.42–5.182.63–5.934.05–11.12safer0.88–5.732.13–6.423.01–12.15
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.495.2210.71safe3.28–7.703.22–7.226.50–14.92safer2.70–8.282.69–7.765.39–16.03
Possession %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction47.3553.13safe40.56–54.1446.34–59.91safer38.89–55.8144.67–61.59
Passes
46%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction425435860safe357–492369–502726–993safer339–510351–519690–1029
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction63.9969.81safe59.96–68.0265.48–74.13safer58.67–69.3164.17–75.44
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9012.9626.87safe11.07–16.7410.02–15.9121.09–32.65safer10.31–17.509.27–16.6619.58–34.16
Offsides
42%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.974.04safe0.92–3.240.87–3.061.79–6.30safer0.61–3.540.58–3.351.20–6.88
Yellow cards
48%
20%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.824.05safe1.18–3.280.69–2.951.87–6.23safer0.91–3.540.40–3.241.32–6.79
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
51%
17%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.062.505.56safe1.62–4.490.95–4.062.57–8.55safer1.23–4.880.52–4.481.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 1.32 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 2.59 0.77–4.41 0.29–4.89 | 36% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 3.76 1.89–5.62 1.40–6.11 | 4.49 2.74–6.23 2.28–6.70 | 8.24 4.64–11.85 3.68–12.80 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Total shots | 12.37 8.44–16.29 7.35–17.38 | 14.36 10.80–17.93 9.84–18.89 | 26.73 19.24–34.22 17.19–36.27 | 31% 61% |
| Shots in box | 7.62 4.68–10.56 3.85–11.39 | 9.11 6.43–11.79 5.69–12.53 | 16.73 11.11–22.35 9.54–23.92 | 31% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.30 1.42–5.18 0.88–5.73 | 4.28 2.63–5.93 2.13–6.42 | 7.58 4.05–11.12 3.01–12.15 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 5.49 3.28–7.70 2.70–8.28 | 5.22 3.22–7.22 2.69–7.76 | 10.71 6.50–14.92 5.39–16.03 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 47.35 40.56–54.14 38.89–55.81 | 53.13 46.34–59.91 44.67–61.59 | — | 34% 61% |
| Passes | 425 357–492 339–510 | 435 369–502 351–519 | 860 726–993 690–1029 | 46% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.99 59.96–68.02 58.67–69.31 | 69.81 65.48–74.13 64.17–75.44 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 13.90 11.07–16.74 10.31–17.50 | 12.96 10.02–15.91 9.27–16.66 | 26.87 21.09–32.65 19.58–34.16 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.08 0.92–3.24 0.61–3.54 | 1.97 0.87–3.06 0.58–3.35 | 4.04 1.79–6.30 1.20–6.88 | 42% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.23 1.18–3.28 0.91–3.54 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 4.05 1.87–6.23 1.32–6.79 | 48% 20% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.62–4.49 1.23–4.88 | 2.50 0.95–4.06 0.52–4.48 | 5.56 2.57–8.55 1.75–9.36 | 51% 17% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.