Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
22%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction0.901.932.83safe0.00–1.871.08–2.791.01–4.66safer0.00–2.120.85–3.020.53–5.14
Shots on target
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.245.738.97safe1.37–5.103.99–7.475.36–12.57safer0.88–5.593.52–7.944.41–13.53
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8316.0825.91safe5.91–13.7612.52–19.6418.42–33.40safer4.82–14.8511.56–20.6016.37–35.45
Shots in box
14%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.1810.0916.27safe3.24–9.137.41–12.7710.65–21.89safer2.41–9.966.67–13.519.08–23.46
Blocked shots
30%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.164.027.18safe1.28–5.052.37–5.673.65–10.72safer0.74–5.591.88–6.172.61–11.76
Corners
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction4.275.9810.24safe2.05–6.483.98–7.986.03–14.45safer1.48–7.053.44–8.514.92–15.56
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction38.1462.94safe31.35–44.9356.15–69.72safer29.68–46.6054.48–71.39
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction361599960safe294–429532–665826–1094safer276–447515–683791–1129
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction62.2077.07safe58.17–66.2372.74–81.39safer56.88–67.5271.44–82.70
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4511.3822.83safe8.61–14.298.43–14.3217.05–28.61safer7.86–15.047.69–15.0715.54–30.12
Offsides
37%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.743.37safe0.48–2.800.64–2.831.12–5.63safer0.17–3.100.36–3.120.53–6.22
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.843.82safe0.93–3.020.71–2.971.64–5.99safer0.66–3.290.42–3.261.08–6.55
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.090.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.410.00–0.84
GK saves
63%
15%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.225.72safe2.07–4.940.66–3.772.73–8.72safer1.69–5.330.23–4.201.92–9.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.90 0.00–1.87 0.00–2.12 | 1.93 1.08–2.79 0.85–3.02 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 17% 22% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.24 1.37–5.10 0.88–5.59 | 5.73 3.99–7.47 3.52–7.94 | 8.97 5.36–12.57 4.41–13.53 | 16% 75% |
| Total shots | 9.83 5.91–13.76 4.82–14.85 | 16.08 12.52–19.64 11.56–20.60 | 25.91 18.42–33.40 16.37–35.45 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 6.18 3.24–9.13 2.41–9.96 | 10.09 7.41–12.77 6.67–13.51 | 16.27 10.65–21.89 9.08–23.46 | 14% 80% |
| Blocked shots | 3.16 1.28–5.05 0.74–5.59 | 4.02 2.37–5.67 1.88–6.17 | 7.18 3.65–10.72 2.61–11.76 | 30% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 4.27 2.05–6.48 1.48–7.05 | 5.98 3.98–7.98 3.44–8.51 | 10.24 6.03–14.45 4.92–15.56 | 24% 65% |
| Possession % | 38.14 31.35–44.93 29.68–46.60 | 62.94 56.15–69.72 54.48–71.39 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 361 294–429 276–447 | 599 532–665 515–683 | 960 826–1094 791–1129 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.20 58.17–66.23 56.88–67.52 | 77.07 72.74–81.39 71.44–82.70 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 11.45 8.61–14.29 7.86–15.04 | 11.38 8.43–14.32 7.69–15.07 | 22.83 17.05–28.61 15.54–30.12 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.17–3.10 | 1.74 0.64–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 3.37 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 37% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.93–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.82 1.64–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.51 2.07–4.94 1.69–5.33 | 2.22 0.66–3.77 0.23–4.20 | 5.72 2.73–8.72 1.92–9.53 | 63% 15% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+