Premiership·Regular Season - 19·
Premiership·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.012.72safe0.75–2.680.15–1.860.90–4.55safer0.50–2.940.00–2.090.42–5.03
Shots on target
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.393.548.93safe3.53–7.251.80–5.285.33–12.54safer3.04–7.741.33–5.754.37–13.49
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4911.1726.66safe11.56–19.417.61–14.7419.18–34.15safer10.47–20.506.65–15.7017.12–36.20
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.657.0317.68safe7.71–13.594.35–9.7112.05–23.30safer6.88–14.423.61–10.4510.49–24.87
Blocked shots
61%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.473.167.63safe2.59–6.351.51–4.824.09–11.16safer2.04–6.891.02–5.313.06–12.20
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction6.124.4510.57safe3.91–8.342.45–6.456.36–14.79safer3.34–8.911.92–6.985.25–15.89
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.3444.94safe47.55–61.1338.15–51.72safer45.88–62.8036.48–53.39
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction472379851safe405–540312–445718–985safer387–558295–463682–1021
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction71.8167.84safe67.79–75.8463.52–72.16safer66.49–77.1462.21–73.47
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9312.7824.71safe9.10–14.779.83–15.7218.93–30.49safer8.34–15.539.08–16.4717.42–32.00
Offsides
54%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.243.17safe0.77–3.090.15–2.330.92–5.43safer0.47–3.390.00–2.620.33–6.02
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.043.79safe0.71–2.810.91–3.171.61–5.97safer0.44–3.070.62–3.461.06–6.53
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.473.485.95safe1.04–3.911.92–5.032.96–8.94safer0.65–4.301.50–5.462.14–9.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 0.75–2.68 0.50–2.94 | 1.01 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 2.72 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 54% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.39 3.53–7.25 3.04–7.74 | 3.54 1.80–5.28 1.33–5.75 | 8.93 5.33–12.54 4.37–13.49 | 67% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.49 11.56–19.41 10.47–20.50 | 11.17 7.61–14.74 6.65–15.70 | 26.66 19.18–34.15 17.12–36.20 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.65 7.71–13.59 6.88–14.42 | 7.03 4.35–9.71 3.61–10.45 | 17.68 12.05–23.30 10.49–24.87 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.47 2.59–6.35 2.04–6.89 | 3.16 1.51–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 7.63 4.09–11.16 3.06–12.20 | 61% 13% 25% |
| Corners | 6.12 3.91–8.34 3.34–8.91 | 4.45 2.45–6.45 1.92–6.98 | 10.57 6.36–14.79 5.25–15.89 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 54.34 47.55–61.13 45.88–62.80 | 44.94 38.15–51.72 36.48–53.39 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 472 405–540 387–558 | 379 312–445 295–463 | 851 718–985 682–1021 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.81 67.79–75.84 66.49–77.14 | 67.84 63.52–72.16 62.21–73.47 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 11.93 9.10–14.77 8.34–15.53 | 12.78 9.83–15.72 9.08–16.47 | 24.71 18.93–30.49 17.42–32.00 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.77–3.09 0.47–3.39 | 1.24 0.15–2.33 0.00–2.62 | 3.17 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.44–3.07 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.06–6.53 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.47 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 3.48 1.92–5.03 1.50–5.46 | 5.95 2.96–8.94 2.14–9.75 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.