Premiership·Regular Season - 19·
Premiership·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.860.972.83safe0.89–2.830.12–1.831.01–4.65safer0.64–3.080.00–2.060.53–5.13
Shots on target
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.523.278.78safe3.66–7.381.52–5.015.18–12.39safer3.17–7.871.06–5.474.22–13.35
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction15.479.9725.44safe11.54–19.396.41–13.5417.95–32.93safer10.45–20.485.45–14.4915.90–34.98
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction10.276.1116.37safe7.32–13.213.42–8.7910.75–22.00safer6.50–14.042.69–9.529.18–23.56
Blocked shots
62%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.312.967.28safe2.43–6.201.31–4.623.74–10.81safer1.89–6.740.82–5.112.71–11.85
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.233.7710.00safe4.02–8.451.77–5.775.79–14.22safer3.45–9.021.24–6.304.68–15.32
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction51.2349.02safe44.44–58.0242.23–55.80safer42.77–59.6940.56–57.47
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction486442928safe418–553376–509794–1061safer400–571358–526758–1097
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction67.5369.00safe63.50–71.5664.67–73.32safer62.21–72.8563.36–74.63
Fouls
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4712.0025.47safe10.63–16.319.06–14.9519.69–31.25safer9.87–17.068.31–15.6918.18–32.76
Offsides
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.763.60safe0.68–3.000.67–2.861.35–5.86safer0.38–3.300.38–3.140.76–6.45
Yellow cards
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.703.35safe0.59–2.690.57–2.831.17–5.52safer0.33–2.960.28–3.120.61–6.08
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
25%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.373.455.82safe0.94–3.811.89–5.012.83–8.81safer0.55–4.201.47–5.432.02–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.86 0.89–2.83 0.64–3.08 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 58% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.52 3.66–7.38 3.17–7.87 | 3.27 1.52–5.01 1.06–5.47 | 8.78 5.18–12.39 4.22–13.35 | 72% 17% |
| Total shots | 15.47 11.54–19.39 10.45–20.48 | 9.97 6.41–13.54 5.45–14.49 | 25.44 17.95–32.93 15.90–34.98 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 10.27 7.32–13.21 6.50–14.04 | 6.11 3.42–8.79 2.69–9.52 | 16.37 10.75–22.00 9.18–23.56 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.31 2.43–6.20 1.89–6.74 | 2.96 1.31–4.62 0.82–5.11 | 7.28 3.74–10.81 2.71–11.85 | 62% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 6.23 4.02–8.45 3.45–9.02 | 3.77 1.77–5.77 1.24–6.30 | 10.00 5.79–14.22 4.68–15.32 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 51.23 44.44–58.02 42.77–59.69 | 49.02 42.23–55.80 40.56–57.47 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 486 418–553 400–571 | 442 376–509 358–526 | 928 794–1061 758–1097 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.53 63.50–71.56 62.21–72.85 | 69.00 64.67–73.32 63.36–74.63 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 13.47 10.63–16.31 9.87–17.06 | 12.00 9.06–14.95 8.31–15.69 | 25.47 19.69–31.25 18.18–32.76 | 58% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.76 0.67–2.86 0.38–3.14 | 3.60 1.35–5.86 0.76–6.45 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.33–2.96 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.35 1.17–5.52 0.61–6.08 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 3.45 1.89–5.01 1.47–5.43 | 5.82 2.83–8.81 2.02–9.63 | 25% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.