Premiership·Regular Season - 20·
Premiership·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.372.63safe0.30–2.240.51–2.220.81–4.46safer0.05–2.490.28–2.450.33–4.94
Shots on target
42%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.394.528.90safe2.53–6.252.77–6.265.30–12.51safer2.04–6.742.31–6.724.34–13.47
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6713.1626.83safe9.75–17.599.60–16.7219.34–34.32safer8.65–18.698.64–17.6817.29–36.37
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.599.0117.61safe5.65–11.546.33–11.6911.98–23.23safer4.82–12.375.59–12.4310.42–24.80
Blocked shots
48%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.093.697.78safe2.20–5.972.04–5.354.24–11.31safer1.66–6.511.55–5.843.21–12.35
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.554.8910.44safe3.33–7.762.89–6.896.23–14.65safer2.76–8.332.36–7.435.12–15.76
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction49.7050.05safe42.91–56.4943.26–56.83safer41.24–58.1641.59–58.50
Passes
52%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction435429863safe368–502362–495730–997safer350–520345–513694–1033
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction65.9170.46safe61.88–69.9466.14–74.79safer60.58–71.2364.83–76.10
Fouls
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8313.6826.51safe9.99–15.6610.74–16.6320.73–32.29safer9.23–16.429.99–17.3819.22–33.80
Offsides
32%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.703.14safe0.27–2.590.61–2.800.88–5.39safer0.00–2.890.32–3.080.29–5.98
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.912.234.14safe0.86–2.961.10–3.361.96–6.32safer0.60–3.230.81–3.651.40–6.88
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
44%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.142.996.13safe1.70–4.581.43–4.553.14–9.12safer1.32–4.961.01–4.972.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 1.37 0.51–2.22 0.28–2.45 | 2.63 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 35% 26% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.39 2.53–6.25 2.04–6.74 | 4.52 2.77–6.26 2.31–6.72 | 8.90 5.30–12.51 4.34–13.47 | 42% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 13.67 9.75–17.59 8.65–18.69 | 13.16 9.60–16.72 8.64–17.68 | 26.83 19.34–34.32 17.29–36.37 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 8.59 5.65–11.54 4.82–12.37 | 9.01 6.33–11.69 5.59–12.43 | 17.61 11.98–23.23 10.42–24.80 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 4.09 2.20–5.97 1.66–6.51 | 3.69 2.04–5.35 1.55–5.84 | 7.78 4.24–11.31 3.21–12.35 | 48% 14% 37% |
| Corners | 5.55 3.33–7.76 2.76–8.33 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.36–7.43 | 10.44 6.23–14.65 5.12–15.76 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 49.70 42.91–56.49 41.24–58.16 | 50.05 43.26–56.83 41.59–58.50 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 435 368–502 350–520 | 429 362–495 345–513 | 863 730–997 694–1033 | 52% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.91 61.88–69.94 60.58–71.23 | 70.46 66.14–74.79 64.83–76.10 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 12.83 9.99–15.66 9.23–16.42 | 13.68 10.74–16.63 9.99–17.38 | 26.51 20.73–32.29 19.22–33.80 | 40% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.08 | 3.14 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.98 | 32% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.60–3.23 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.14 1.96–6.32 1.40–6.88 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.14 1.70–4.58 1.32–4.96 | 2.99 1.43–4.55 1.01–4.97 | 6.13 3.14–9.12 2.33–9.94 | 44% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.