Premiership·Regular Season - 20·
Premiership·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.060.973.02safe1.09–3.020.11–1.821.20–4.85safer0.84–3.280.00–2.050.72–5.33
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.113.349.45safe4.24–7.971.60–5.095.85–13.06safer3.76–8.461.14–5.554.89–14.01
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.169.3325.48safe12.23–20.085.76–12.8918.00–32.97safer11.14–21.174.80–13.8515.94–35.02
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.166.3116.48safe7.22–13.103.63–8.9910.85–22.10safer6.39–13.932.89–9.739.29–23.67
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.162.957.11safe2.28–6.041.29–4.603.57–10.64safer1.74–6.590.80–5.092.54–11.68
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.564.5211.08safe4.35–8.772.52–6.526.87–15.29safer3.77–9.351.98–7.055.76–16.40
Possession %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction53.9346.64safe47.13–60.7239.86–53.43safer45.47–62.3938.19–55.10
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction501415916safe434–568349–481782–1050safer416–586331–499747–1085
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction70.7569.00safe66.72–74.7864.68–73.33safer65.43–76.0763.37–74.64
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6413.0723.71safe7.80–13.4810.13–16.0217.93–29.50safer7.05–14.239.38–16.7716.43–31.00
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.533.54safe0.85–3.170.44–2.621.29–5.80safer0.55–3.480.15–2.910.70–6.39
Yellow cards
20%
20%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.262.263.52safe0.21–2.311.13–3.391.34–5.70safer0.00–2.580.84–3.680.79–6.26
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
19%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.193.795.97safe0.75–3.622.23–5.342.98–8.96safer0.36–4.011.81–5.772.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.06 1.09–3.02 0.84–3.28 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 3.02 1.20–4.85 0.72–5.33 | 63% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.11 4.24–7.97 3.76–8.46 | 3.34 1.60–5.09 1.14–5.55 | 9.45 5.85–13.06 4.89–14.01 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 16.16 12.23–20.08 11.14–21.17 | 9.33 5.76–12.89 4.80–13.85 | 25.48 18.00–32.97 15.94–35.02 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.16 7.22–13.10 6.39–13.93 | 6.31 3.63–8.99 2.89–9.73 | 16.48 10.85–22.10 9.29–23.67 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.28–6.04 1.74–6.59 | 2.95 1.29–4.60 0.80–5.09 | 7.11 3.57–10.64 2.54–11.68 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 6.56 4.35–8.77 3.77–9.35 | 4.52 2.52–6.52 1.98–7.05 | 11.08 6.87–15.29 5.76–16.40 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 53.93 47.13–60.72 45.47–62.39 | 46.64 39.86–53.43 38.19–55.10 | — | 64% 31% |
| Passes | 501 434–568 416–586 | 415 349–481 331–499 | 916 782–1050 747–1085 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.75 66.72–74.78 65.43–76.07 | 69.00 64.68–73.33 63.37–74.64 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 10.64 7.80–13.48 7.05–14.23 | 13.07 10.13–16.02 9.38–16.77 | 23.71 17.93–29.50 16.43–31.00 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.55–3.48 | 1.53 0.44–2.62 0.15–2.91 | 3.54 1.29–5.80 0.70–6.39 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.26 0.21–2.31 0.00–2.58 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 20% 20% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 3.79 2.23–5.34 1.81–5.77 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.17–9.78 | 19% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.