Premiership·Regular Season - 21·
Premiership·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction0.991.862.84safe0.02–1.961.00–2.711.02–4.67safer0.00–2.210.77–2.940.54–5.15
Shots on target
25%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.464.858.31safe1.59–5.323.11–6.594.70–11.91safer1.10–5.812.64–7.063.75–12.87
Total shots
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0813.7024.78safe7.16–15.0110.14–17.2617.29–32.27safer6.06–16.109.18–18.2215.24–34.32
Shots in box
18%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction6.279.3315.61safe3.33–9.226.65–12.019.98–21.23safer2.50–10.055.91–12.758.42–22.80
Blocked shots
31%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.143.967.10safe1.26–5.032.31–5.613.57–10.64safer0.72–5.571.81–6.102.53–11.67
Corners
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.135.669.79safe1.92–6.353.66–7.665.58–14.01safer1.34–6.923.13–8.194.47–15.11
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction48.6053.34safe41.81–55.3946.56–60.13safer40.14–57.0644.89–61.80
Passes
43%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction441460901safe373–508394–527767–1035safer355–526376–544732–1070
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction63.0271.83safe58.99–67.0567.50–76.15safer57.69–68.3466.19–77.46
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9512.6424.59safe9.11–14.799.69–15.5818.81–30.37safer8.36–15.548.95–16.3317.30–31.88
Offsides
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.683.05safe0.20–2.530.59–2.770.79–5.30safer0.00–2.830.30–3.060.20–5.89
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.733.51safe0.73–2.830.61–2.861.34–5.69safer0.46–3.100.31–3.150.78–6.25
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.272.535.80safe1.83–4.700.98–4.092.81–8.79safer1.44–5.090.55–4.511.99–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 1.86 1.00–2.71 0.77–2.94 | 2.84 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 20% 22% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.46 1.59–5.32 1.10–5.81 | 4.85 3.11–6.59 2.64–7.06 | 8.31 4.70–11.91 3.75–12.87 | 25% 62% |
| Total shots | 11.08 7.16–15.01 6.06–16.10 | 13.70 10.14–17.26 9.18–18.22 | 24.78 17.29–32.27 15.24–34.32 | 26% 66% |
| Shots in box | 6.27 3.33–9.22 2.50–10.05 | 9.33 6.65–12.01 5.91–12.75 | 15.61 9.98–21.23 8.42–22.80 | 18% 74% |
| Blocked shots | 3.14 1.26–5.03 0.72–5.57 | 3.96 2.31–5.61 1.81–6.10 | 7.10 3.57–10.64 2.53–11.67 | 31% 15% 55% |
| Corners | 4.13 1.92–6.35 1.34–6.92 | 5.66 3.66–7.66 3.13–8.19 | 9.79 5.58–14.01 4.47–15.11 | 26% 63% |
| Possession % | 48.60 41.81–55.39 40.14–57.06 | 53.34 46.56–60.13 44.89–61.80 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 441 373–508 355–526 | 460 394–527 376–544 | 901 767–1035 732–1070 | 43% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.02 58.99–67.05 57.69–68.34 | 71.83 67.50–76.15 66.19–77.46 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.95 9.11–14.79 8.36–15.54 | 12.64 9.69–15.58 8.95–16.33 | 24.59 18.81–30.37 17.30–31.88 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.36 0.20–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.05 0.79–5.30 0.20–5.89 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.10 | 1.73 0.61–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.51 1.34–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.83–4.70 1.44–5.09 | 2.53 0.98–4.09 0.55–4.51 | 5.80 2.81–8.79 1.99–9.60 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.