Premiership·Regular Season - 23·
Premiership·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
26%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.472.51safe0.07–2.010.62–2.320.69–4.34safer0.00–2.260.39–2.550.21–4.81
Shots on target
25%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.264.617.87safe1.40–5.122.86–6.354.26–11.47safer0.91–5.612.40–6.823.31–12.43
Total shots
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7713.7923.56safe5.84–13.6910.23–17.3516.07–31.04safer4.75–14.789.27–18.3114.02–33.10
Shots in box
21%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction6.278.8415.11safe3.32–9.216.16–11.529.49–20.73safer2.50–10.045.42–12.267.92–22.30
Blocked shots
34%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.123.666.78safe1.24–5.002.01–5.323.25–10.32safer0.69–5.551.52–5.812.21–11.35
Corners
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.345.439.77safe2.13–6.553.43–7.435.56–13.99safer1.55–7.132.90–7.974.45–15.09
Possession %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction44.5057.00safe37.71–51.2950.21–63.78safer36.04–52.9648.54–65.45
Passes
20%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction387485872safe319–454419–552738–1006safer301–472401–569702–1041
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction62.3872.79safe58.35–66.4168.46–77.11safer57.06–67.7067.15–78.42
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0211.7624.77safe10.18–15.858.81–14.7018.99–30.55safer9.42–16.618.06–15.4517.48–32.06
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.472.99safe0.36–2.680.38–2.560.74–5.25safer0.06–2.980.09–2.850.15–5.84
Yellow cards
43%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.934.05safe1.07–3.170.80–3.061.87–6.22safer0.80–3.430.51–3.351.31–6.78
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.090.23safe0.00–0.300.00–0.280.00–0.58safer0.00–0.450.00–0.410.00–0.86
GK saves
58%
16%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.242.245.48safe1.80–4.670.68–3.802.49–8.47safer1.41–5.060.26–4.221.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 1.47 0.62–2.32 0.39–2.55 | 2.51 0.69–4.34 0.21–4.81 | 27% 26% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.26 1.40–5.12 0.91–5.61 | 4.61 2.86–6.35 2.40–6.82 | 7.87 4.26–11.47 3.31–12.43 | 25% 62% |
| Total shots | 9.77 5.84–13.69 4.75–14.78 | 13.79 10.23–17.35 9.27–18.31 | 23.56 16.07–31.04 14.02–33.10 | 17% 77% |
| Shots in box | 6.27 3.32–9.21 2.50–10.04 | 8.84 6.16–11.52 5.42–12.26 | 15.11 9.49–20.73 7.92–22.30 | 21% 70% |
| Blocked shots | 3.12 1.24–5.00 0.69–5.55 | 3.66 2.01–5.32 1.52–5.81 | 6.78 3.25–10.32 2.21–11.35 | 34% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.34 2.13–6.55 1.55–7.13 | 5.43 3.43–7.43 2.90–7.97 | 9.77 5.56–13.99 4.45–15.09 | 30% 57% |
| Possession % | 44.50 37.71–51.29 36.04–52.96 | 57.00 50.21–63.78 48.54–65.45 | — | 21% 75% |
| Passes | 387 319–454 301–472 | 485 419–552 401–569 | 872 738–1006 702–1041 | 20% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.38 58.35–66.41 57.06–67.70 | 72.79 68.46–77.11 67.15–78.42 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 13.02 10.18–15.85 9.42–16.61 | 11.76 8.81–14.70 8.06–15.45 | 24.77 18.99–30.55 17.48–32.06 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.47 0.38–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 2.99 0.74–5.25 0.15–5.84 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.80–3.43 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 4.05 1.87–6.22 1.31–6.78 | 43% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.24 1.80–4.67 1.41–5.06 | 2.24 0.68–3.80 0.26–4.22 | 5.48 2.49–8.47 1.67–9.28 | 58% 16% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.