Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.260.853.11safe1.29–3.220.00–1.701.28–4.93safer1.04–3.480.00–1.930.80–5.41
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.923.1810.10safe5.05–8.781.44–4.926.49–13.70safer4.56–9.270.97–5.395.54–14.66
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction21.119.1230.22safe17.18–25.035.55–12.6822.74–37.71safer16.09–26.124.59–13.6420.69–39.76
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.175.3018.47safe10.23–16.112.62–7.9812.85–24.09safer9.40–16.941.88–8.7211.28–25.66
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.702.708.40safe3.82–7.581.05–4.354.86–11.93safer3.27–8.120.55–4.843.83–12.97
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.893.4411.32safe5.67–10.101.44–5.447.11–15.54safer5.10–10.670.90–5.976.00–16.65
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.5735.59safe56.78–70.3628.81–42.38safer55.11–72.0327.13–44.05
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction637354991safe570–704288–421857–1125safer552–722270–438822–1160
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction77.6667.10safe73.63–81.6962.78–71.43safer72.34–82.9861.47–72.74
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction11.579.9521.51safe8.73–14.407.00–12.8915.73–27.30safer7.97–15.166.25–13.6414.23–28.80
Offsides
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.283.33safe0.89–3.210.19–2.371.08–5.58safer0.59–3.510.00–2.660.49–6.17
Yellow cards
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.602.98safe0.33–2.430.47–2.730.80–5.16safer0.07–2.700.18–3.020.24–5.72
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.194.616.80safe0.75–3.623.05–6.173.81–9.79safer0.36–4.012.63–6.592.99–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.26 1.29–3.22 1.04–3.48 | 0.85 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 3.11 1.28–4.93 0.80–5.41 | 69% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.92 5.05–8.78 4.56–9.27 | 3.18 1.44–4.92 0.97–5.39 | 10.10 6.49–13.70 5.54–14.66 | 85% |
| Total shots | 21.11 17.18–25.03 16.09–26.12 | 9.12 5.55–12.68 4.59–13.64 | 30.22 22.74–37.71 20.69–39.76 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.17 10.23–16.11 9.40–16.94 | 5.30 2.62–7.98 1.88–8.72 | 18.47 12.85–24.09 11.28–25.66 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.70 3.82–7.58 3.27–8.12 | 2.70 1.05–4.35 0.55–4.84 | 8.40 4.86–11.93 3.83–12.97 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.89 5.67–10.10 5.10–10.67 | 3.44 1.44–5.44 0.90–5.97 | 11.32 7.11–15.54 6.00–16.65 | 88% |
| Possession % | 63.57 56.78–70.36 55.11–72.03 | 35.59 28.81–42.38 27.13–44.05 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 637 570–704 552–722 | 354 288–421 270–438 | 991 857–1125 822–1160 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.66 73.63–81.69 72.34–82.98 | 67.10 62.78–71.43 61.47–72.74 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 11.57 8.73–14.40 7.97–15.16 | 9.95 7.00–12.89 6.25–13.64 | 21.51 15.73–27.30 14.23–28.80 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.59–3.51 | 1.28 0.19–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 3.33 1.08–5.58 0.49–6.17 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.07–2.70 | 1.60 0.47–2.73 0.18–3.02 | 2.98 0.80–5.16 0.24–5.72 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 4.61 3.05–6.17 2.63–6.59 | 6.80 3.81–9.79 2.99–10.60 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.