Premiership·Regular Season - 23·
Premiership·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.492.74safe0.28–2.220.64–2.350.92–4.56safer0.03–2.470.41–2.570.44–5.04
Shots on target
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.055.129.17safe2.19–5.913.38–6.875.57–12.78safer1.70–6.402.91–7.334.61–13.73
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4315.8728.30safe8.51–16.3612.31–19.4420.82–35.79safer7.41–17.4511.35–20.4018.77–37.84
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction8.239.8618.09safe5.29–11.177.18–12.5412.47–23.71safer4.46–12.006.44–13.2810.90–25.28
Blocked shots
28%
13%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.504.628.12safe1.62–5.382.97–6.274.58–11.66safer1.08–5.932.47–6.763.55–12.69
Corners
40%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction5.135.4910.61safe2.92–7.343.49–7.496.40–14.83safer2.34–7.922.95–8.025.29–15.93
Possession %
41%
55%
homeawayprediction49.1552.21safe42.36–55.9445.43–59.00safer40.69–57.6143.75–60.67
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction419425844safe352–487358–491710–978safer334–505341–509675–1013
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction67.9970.95safe63.96–72.0266.62–75.27safer62.67–73.3165.31–76.58
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6013.5626.17safe9.76–15.4410.62–16.5120.38–31.95safer9.01–16.199.87–17.2618.88–33.45
Offsides
50%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.403.33safe0.77–3.090.31–2.491.08–5.59safer0.47–3.390.02–2.780.49–6.18
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.062.054.10safe1.01–3.100.92–3.171.92–6.28safer0.74–3.370.63–3.471.37–6.84
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.362.816.17safe1.93–4.801.25–4.373.18–9.17safer1.54–5.190.83–4.792.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.49 0.64–2.35 0.41–2.57 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.19–5.91 1.70–6.40 | 5.12 3.38–6.87 2.91–7.33 | 9.17 5.57–12.78 4.61–13.73 | 30% 57% |
| Total shots | 12.43 8.51–16.36 7.41–17.45 | 15.87 12.31–19.44 11.35–20.40 | 28.30 20.82–35.79 18.77–37.84 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 8.23 5.29–11.17 4.46–12.00 | 9.86 7.18–12.54 6.44–13.28 | 18.09 12.47–23.71 10.90–25.28 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.50 1.62–5.38 1.08–5.93 | 4.62 2.97–6.27 2.47–6.76 | 8.12 4.58–11.66 3.55–12.69 | 28% 13% 58% |
| Corners | 5.13 2.92–7.34 2.34–7.92 | 5.49 3.49–7.49 2.95–8.02 | 10.61 6.40–14.83 5.29–15.93 | 40% 48% |
| Possession % | 49.15 42.36–55.94 40.69–57.61 | 52.21 45.43–59.00 43.75–60.67 | — | 41% 55% |
| Passes | 419 352–487 334–505 | 425 358–491 341–509 | 844 710–978 675–1013 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.99 63.96–72.02 62.67–73.31 | 70.95 66.62–75.27 65.31–76.58 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 12.60 9.76–15.44 9.01–16.19 | 13.56 10.62–16.51 9.87–17.26 | 26.17 20.38–31.95 18.88–33.45 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.77–3.09 0.47–3.39 | 1.40 0.31–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.33 1.08–5.59 0.49–6.18 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.10 0.74–3.37 | 2.05 0.92–3.17 0.63–3.47 | 4.10 1.92–6.28 1.37–6.84 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.36 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 2.81 1.25–4.37 0.83–4.79 | 6.17 3.18–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+