Premiership·Regular Season - 23·
Premiership·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.272.75safe0.51–2.440.42–2.130.93–4.57safer0.26–2.700.19–2.360.45–5.05
Shots on target
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.319.41safe3.24–6.962.57–6.065.81–13.02safer2.75–7.452.11–6.524.85–13.97
Total shots
56%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2012.9327.13safe10.28–18.139.37–16.4919.65–34.62safer9.19–19.228.41–17.4517.59–36.67
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction9.298.7017.99safe6.35–12.246.02–11.3812.37–23.62safer5.52–13.075.28–12.1210.80–25.18
Blocked shots
45%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.613.417.02safe1.73–5.491.75–5.063.48–10.55safer1.18–6.041.26–5.552.45–11.59
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.514.7810.30safe3.30–7.732.78–6.786.09–14.51safer2.73–8.302.25–7.324.98–15.62
Possession %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction46.9752.32safe40.18–53.7645.54–59.11safer38.51–55.4343.87–60.78
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction429461890safe362–497394–527756–1024safer344–515377–545721–1059
Pass accuracy %
24%
71%
homeawayprediction66.9471.80safe62.91–70.9767.47–76.12safer61.62–72.2666.16–77.43
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5312.5025.03safe9.69–15.379.56–15.4519.25–30.81safer8.93–16.128.81–16.2017.74–32.32
Offsides
41%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.673.46safe0.63–2.950.58–2.771.20–5.71safer0.32–3.250.29–3.050.61–6.30
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.983.79safe0.76–2.860.85–3.111.61–5.97safer0.49–3.120.56–3.401.05–6.52
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.973.336.31safe1.54–4.411.78–4.893.31–9.30safer1.15–4.801.35–5.312.50–10.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.44 0.26–2.70 | 1.27 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.36 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Shots on target | 5.10 3.24–6.96 2.75–7.45 | 4.31 2.57–6.06 2.11–6.52 | 9.41 5.81–13.02 4.85–13.97 | 54% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.20 10.28–18.13 9.19–19.22 | 12.93 9.37–16.49 8.41–17.45 | 27.13 19.65–34.62 17.59–36.67 | 56% 37% |
| Shots in box | 9.29 6.35–12.24 5.52–13.07 | 8.70 6.02–11.38 5.28–12.12 | 17.99 12.37–23.62 10.80–25.18 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.18–6.04 | 3.41 1.75–5.06 1.26–5.55 | 7.02 3.48–10.55 2.45–11.59 | 45% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.30–7.73 2.73–8.30 | 4.78 2.78–6.78 2.25–7.32 | 10.30 6.09–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 46.97 40.18–53.76 38.51–55.43 | 52.32 45.54–59.11 43.87–60.78 | — | 35% 60% |
| Passes | 429 362–497 344–515 | 461 394–527 377–545 | 890 756–1024 721–1059 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.94 62.91–70.97 61.62–72.26 | 71.80 67.47–76.12 66.16–77.43 | — | 24% 71% |
| Fouls | 12.53 9.69–15.37 8.93–16.12 | 12.50 9.56–15.45 8.81–16.20 | 25.03 19.25–30.81 17.74–32.32 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.32–3.25 | 1.67 0.58–2.77 0.29–3.05 | 3.46 1.20–5.71 0.61–6.30 | 41% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.05–6.52 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.54–4.41 1.15–4.80 | 3.33 1.78–4.89 1.35–5.31 | 6.31 3.31–9.30 2.50–10.11 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.