Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
18%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction0.952.293.24safe0.00–1.921.43–3.141.42–5.06safer0.00–2.171.21–3.370.94–5.54
Shots on target
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.726.6110.33safe1.86–5.594.87–8.356.73–13.94safer1.37–6.084.40–8.825.77–14.89
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3716.9728.33safe7.44–15.2913.40–20.5320.84–35.82safer6.35–16.3812.44–21.4918.79–37.87
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.1211.6018.72safe4.18–10.068.92–14.2813.10–24.35safer3.35–10.898.19–15.0211.53–25.91
Blocked shots
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.865.038.89safe1.98–5.743.38–6.695.36–12.43safer1.43–6.292.89–7.184.32–13.46
Corners
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.256.1910.44safe2.03–6.464.19–8.196.22–14.65safer1.46–7.033.66–8.725.12–15.76
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction41.7558.24safe34.96–48.5551.45–65.02safer33.29–50.2149.78–66.70
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction412581994safe345–480515–648860–1128safer327–498497–665824–1163
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction63.9877.52safe59.95–68.0173.20–81.85safer58.66–69.3071.89–83.16
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3712.2022.57safe7.53–13.219.25–15.1416.79–28.35safer6.78–13.968.50–15.8915.28–29.85
Offsides
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.203.65safe0.29–2.611.11–3.291.39–5.90safer0.00–2.910.82–3.580.81–6.49
Yellow cards
43%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.573.34safe0.72–2.820.44–2.701.16–5.52safer0.45–3.080.15–2.990.61–6.08
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.792.576.36safe2.36–5.231.01–4.133.37–9.36safer1.97–5.620.59–4.552.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 2.29 1.43–3.14 1.21–3.37 | 3.24 1.42–5.06 0.94–5.54 | 14% 18% 67% |
| Shots on target | 3.72 1.86–5.59 1.37–6.08 | 6.61 4.87–8.35 4.40–8.82 | 10.33 6.73–13.94 5.77–14.89 | 14% 77% |
| Total shots | 11.37 7.44–15.29 6.35–16.38 | 16.97 13.40–20.53 12.44–21.49 | 28.33 20.84–35.82 18.79–37.87 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 7.12 4.18–10.06 3.35–10.89 | 11.60 8.92–14.28 8.19–15.02 | 18.72 13.10–24.35 11.53–25.91 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.74 1.43–6.29 | 5.03 3.38–6.69 2.89–7.18 | 8.89 5.36–12.43 4.32–13.46 | 29% 59% |
| Corners | 4.25 2.03–6.46 1.46–7.03 | 6.19 4.19–8.19 3.66–8.72 | 10.44 6.22–14.65 5.12–15.76 | 22% 67% |
| Possession % | 41.75 34.96–48.55 33.29–50.21 | 58.24 51.45–65.02 49.78–66.70 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 412 345–480 327–498 | 581 515–648 497–665 | 994 860–1128 824–1163 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.98 59.95–68.01 58.66–69.30 | 77.52 73.20–81.85 71.89–83.16 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 10.37 7.53–13.21 6.78–13.96 | 12.20 9.25–15.14 8.50–15.89 | 22.57 16.79–28.35 15.28–29.85 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 2.20 1.11–3.29 0.82–3.58 | 3.65 1.39–5.90 0.81–6.49 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.08 | 1.57 0.44–2.70 0.15–2.99 | 3.34 1.16–5.52 0.61–6.08 | 43% 23% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.79 2.36–5.23 1.97–5.62 | 2.57 1.01–4.13 0.59–4.55 | 6.36 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 61% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+