Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
24%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction0.941.692.62safe0.00–1.910.83–2.540.80–4.45safer0.00–2.160.60–2.770.32–4.93
Shots on target
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.095.468.56safe1.23–4.963.72–7.204.95–12.16safer0.74–5.453.25–7.674.00–13.12
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4216.0225.44safe5.49–13.3412.46–19.5817.95–32.93safer4.40–14.4311.50–20.5415.90–34.98
Shots in box
14%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.2010.0416.24safe3.26–9.157.36–12.7210.62–21.87safer2.43–9.986.62–13.469.05–23.43
Blocked shots
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.844.076.90safe0.95–4.722.41–5.723.37–10.44safer0.41–5.261.92–6.212.33–11.47
Corners
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.615.8610.46safe2.39–6.823.86–7.866.25–14.68safer1.82–7.393.33–8.395.14–15.78
Possession %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction43.0057.92safe36.21–49.7951.13–64.70safer34.54–51.4649.46–66.38
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction368485853safe301–435419–552720–987safer283–453401–569684–1023
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction61.5871.85safe57.55–65.6167.53–76.17safer56.26–66.9066.22–77.48
Fouls
51%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8113.2027.01safe10.97–16.6510.26–16.1421.23–32.79safer10.22–17.409.51–16.8919.72–34.30
Offsides
50%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.463.46safe0.84–3.160.37–2.561.21–5.72safer0.54–3.460.08–2.840.62–6.31
Yellow cards
45%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.332.074.40safe1.28–3.370.94–3.202.22–6.57safer1.01–3.640.65–3.491.66–7.13
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.090.22safe0.00–0.290.00–0.280.00–0.57safer0.00–0.440.00–0.410.00–0.85
GK saves
62%
15%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.402.175.56safe1.96–4.830.61–3.722.57–8.56safer1.57–5.220.19–4.151.76–9.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.16 | 1.69 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.77 | 2.62 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 21% 24% 55% |
| Shots on target | 3.09 1.23–4.96 0.74–5.45 | 5.46 3.72–7.20 3.25–7.67 | 8.56 4.95–12.16 4.00–13.12 | 16% 74% |
| Total shots | 9.42 5.49–13.34 4.40–14.43 | 16.02 12.46–19.58 11.50–20.54 | 25.44 17.95–32.93 15.90–34.98 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 6.20 3.26–9.15 2.43–9.98 | 10.04 7.36–12.72 6.62–13.46 | 16.24 10.62–21.87 9.05–23.43 | 14% 80% |
| Blocked shots | 2.84 0.95–4.72 0.41–5.26 | 4.07 2.41–5.72 1.92–6.21 | 6.90 3.37–10.44 2.33–11.47 | 25% 14% 61% |
| Corners | 4.61 2.39–6.82 1.82–7.39 | 5.86 3.86–7.86 3.33–8.39 | 10.46 6.25–14.68 5.14–15.78 | 29% 59% |
| Possession % | 43.00 36.21–49.79 34.54–51.46 | 57.92 51.13–64.70 49.46–66.38 | — | 17% 79% |
| Passes | 368 301–435 283–453 | 485 419–552 401–569 | 853 720–987 684–1023 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.58 57.55–65.61 56.26–66.90 | 71.85 67.53–76.17 66.22–77.48 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 13.81 10.97–16.65 10.22–17.40 | 13.20 10.26–16.14 9.51–16.89 | 27.01 21.23–32.79 19.72–34.30 | 51% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 1.46 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.84 | 3.46 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.33 1.28–3.37 1.01–3.64 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 4.40 2.22–6.57 1.66–7.13 | 45% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.40 1.96–4.83 1.57–5.22 | 2.17 0.61–3.72 0.19–4.15 | 5.56 2.57–8.56 1.76–9.37 | 62% 15% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.