Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
24%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.692.74safe0.09–2.020.83–2.540.92–4.57safer0.00–2.280.61–2.770.44–5.05
Shots on target
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.405.468.87safe1.54–5.263.72–7.215.26–12.47safer1.05–5.753.26–7.674.31–13.43
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0915.0826.17safe7.16–15.0111.52–18.6518.68–33.66safer6.07–16.1010.56–19.6116.63–35.71
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7710.2417.01safe3.83–9.717.56–12.9211.39–22.63safer3.00–10.546.82–13.669.82–24.20
Blocked shots
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.774.166.93safe0.89–4.662.50–5.813.39–10.47safer0.35–5.202.01–6.302.36–11.50
Corners
31%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.896.0410.94safe2.68–7.104.04–8.046.72–15.15safer2.10–7.683.51–8.585.61–16.26
Possession %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction43.0557.40safe36.26–49.8450.62–64.19safer34.59–51.5148.95–65.86
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction392503895safe325–459437–570761–1029safer307–477419–587726–1064
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction62.7973.12safe58.76–66.8268.79–77.44safer57.47–68.1167.48–78.75
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7213.2723.99safe7.88–13.5610.32–16.2118.21–29.77safer7.13–14.319.58–16.9616.70–31.27
Offsides
32%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.234.08safe0.68–3.001.14–3.331.82–6.33safer0.38–3.300.85–3.611.23–6.92
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.813.32safe0.46–2.560.68–2.941.14–5.50safer0.20–2.830.39–3.230.59–6.06
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
57%
16%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.352.395.74safe1.91–4.790.84–3.952.75–8.73safer1.53–5.170.41–4.371.94–9.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.09–2.02 0.00–2.28 | 1.69 0.83–2.54 0.61–2.77 | 2.74 0.92–4.57 0.44–5.05 | 24% 24% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.40 1.54–5.26 1.05–5.75 | 5.46 3.72–7.21 3.26–7.67 | 8.87 5.26–12.47 4.31–13.43 | 19% 70% |
| Total shots | 11.09 7.16–15.01 6.07–16.10 | 15.08 11.52–18.65 10.56–19.61 | 26.17 18.68–33.66 16.63–35.71 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 6.77 3.83–9.71 3.00–10.54 | 10.24 7.56–12.92 6.82–13.66 | 17.01 11.39–22.63 9.82–24.20 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 2.77 0.89–4.66 0.35–5.20 | 4.16 2.50–5.81 2.01–6.30 | 6.93 3.39–10.47 2.36–11.50 | 23% 14% 63% |
| Corners | 4.89 2.68–7.10 2.10–7.68 | 6.04 4.04–8.04 3.51–8.58 | 10.94 6.72–15.15 5.61–16.26 | 31% 58% |
| Possession % | 43.05 36.26–49.84 34.59–51.51 | 57.40 50.62–64.19 48.95–65.86 | — | 18% 78% |
| Passes | 392 325–459 307–477 | 503 437–570 419–587 | 895 761–1029 726–1064 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.79 58.76–66.82 57.47–68.11 | 73.12 68.79–77.44 67.48–78.75 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.72 7.88–13.56 7.13–14.31 | 13.27 10.32–16.21 9.58–16.96 | 23.99 18.21–29.77 16.70–31.27 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 2.23 1.14–3.33 0.85–3.61 | 4.08 1.82–6.33 1.23–6.92 | 32% 20% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.32 1.14–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.35 1.91–4.79 1.53–5.17 | 2.39 0.84–3.95 0.41–4.37 | 5.74 2.75–8.73 1.94–9.55 | 57% 16% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.