Premiership·Regular Season - 26·
Premiership·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.200.823.02safe1.24–3.170.00–1.681.20–4.85safer0.98–3.420.00–1.900.72–5.33
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.522.719.23safe4.66–8.380.97–4.455.63–12.84safer4.17–8.870.50–4.924.67–13.79
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.758.9029.65safe16.83–24.685.34–12.4622.16–37.14safer15.73–25.774.38–13.4220.11–39.19
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction13.025.5218.54safe10.08–15.962.83–8.2012.91–24.16safer9.25–16.792.10–8.9311.35–25.73
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.812.548.35safe3.93–7.690.88–4.194.81–11.88safer3.39–8.240.39–4.683.78–12.92
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.523.6411.16safe5.31–9.741.64–5.646.95–15.38safer4.74–10.311.11–6.185.84–16.49
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.4339.15safe53.64–67.2232.36–45.93safer51.97–68.8930.69–47.60
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction558349907safe491–625283–416773–1041safer472–643265–433738–1076
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction74.6866.13safe70.65–78.7161.81–70.46safer69.36–80.0060.50–71.76
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0511.7522.80safe8.22–13.898.80–14.6917.02–28.59safer7.46–14.658.06–15.4415.52–30.09
Offsides
57%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.133.10safe0.80–3.120.04–2.230.84–5.35safer0.50–3.420.00–2.520.25–5.94
Yellow cards
23%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.973.15safe0.13–2.230.84–3.100.97–5.33safer0.00–2.500.55–3.390.41–5.88
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction1.944.316.25safe0.51–3.382.75–5.863.26–9.24safer0.12–3.772.32–6.292.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.20 1.24–3.17 0.98–3.42 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.90 | 3.02 1.20–4.85 0.72–5.33 | 69% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.52 4.66–8.38 4.17–8.87 | 2.71 0.97–4.45 0.50–4.92 | 9.23 5.63–12.84 4.67–13.79 | 87% |
| Total shots | 20.75 16.83–24.68 15.73–25.77 | 8.90 5.34–12.46 4.38–13.42 | 29.65 22.16–37.14 20.11–39.19 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.02 10.08–15.96 9.25–16.79 | 5.52 2.83–8.20 2.10–8.93 | 18.54 12.91–24.16 11.35–25.73 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.81 3.93–7.69 3.39–8.24 | 2.54 0.88–4.19 0.39–4.68 | 8.35 4.81–11.88 3.78–12.92 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.52 5.31–9.74 4.74–10.31 | 3.64 1.64–5.64 1.11–6.18 | 11.16 6.95–15.38 5.84–16.49 | 85% |
| Possession % | 60.43 53.64–67.22 51.97–68.89 | 39.15 32.36–45.93 30.69–47.60 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 558 491–625 472–643 | 349 283–416 265–433 | 907 773–1041 738–1076 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.68 70.65–78.71 69.36–80.00 | 66.13 61.81–70.46 60.50–71.76 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.05 8.22–13.89 7.46–14.65 | 11.75 8.80–14.69 8.06–15.44 | 22.80 17.02–28.59 15.52–30.09 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.42 | 1.13 0.04–2.23 0.00–2.52 | 3.10 0.84–5.35 0.25–5.94 | 57% 22% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.18 0.13–2.23 0.00–2.50 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.15 0.97–5.33 0.41–5.88 | 23% 22% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.94 0.51–3.38 0.12–3.77 | 4.31 2.75–5.86 2.32–6.29 | 6.25 3.26–9.24 2.44–10.05 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+