Premiership·Regular Season - 26·
Premiership·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.282.76safe0.51–2.450.43–2.140.94–4.58safer0.26–2.700.20–2.370.46–5.06
Shots on target
52%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.744.078.81safe2.88–6.612.32–5.815.21–12.42safer2.39–7.101.86–6.274.25–13.37
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6811.9326.62safe10.76–18.618.37–15.5019.13–34.11safer9.67–19.707.41–16.4617.08–36.16
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.677.3717.04safe6.73–12.614.69–10.0511.42–22.67safer5.90–13.443.95–10.799.85–24.23
Blocked shots
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.293.948.23safe2.41–6.172.29–5.594.69–11.76safer1.86–6.721.79–6.083.66–12.80
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.704.259.95safe3.49–7.922.25–6.255.74–14.16safer2.91–8.491.71–6.784.63–15.27
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.5649.94safe43.77–57.3543.16–56.73safer42.10–59.0241.49–58.40
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction481462943safe414–548396–529809–1077safer396–566378–546774–1112
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction67.4470.51safe63.41–71.4766.19–74.84safer62.12–72.7764.88–76.14
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0612.4724.53safe9.22–14.899.53–15.4218.75–30.31safer8.46–15.658.78–16.1717.24–31.82
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.693.27safe0.42–2.740.59–2.781.01–5.52safer0.12–3.040.31–3.070.42–6.11
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.793.29safe0.45–2.550.66–2.921.11–5.47safer0.18–2.810.37–3.210.55–6.02
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.536.35safe1.38–4.251.98–5.093.36–9.34safer0.99–4.641.55–5.522.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.28 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 2.76 0.94–4.58 0.46–5.06 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.74 2.88–6.61 2.39–7.10 | 4.07 2.32–5.81 1.86–6.27 | 8.81 5.21–12.42 4.25–13.37 | 52% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.68 10.76–18.61 9.67–19.70 | 11.93 8.37–15.50 7.41–16.46 | 26.62 19.13–34.11 17.08–36.16 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.67 6.73–12.61 5.90–13.44 | 7.37 4.69–10.05 3.95–10.79 | 17.04 11.42–22.67 9.85–24.23 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.29 2.41–6.17 1.86–6.72 | 3.94 2.29–5.59 1.79–6.08 | 8.23 4.69–11.76 3.66–12.80 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 5.70 3.49–7.92 2.91–8.49 | 4.25 2.25–6.25 1.71–6.78 | 9.95 5.74–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 50.56 43.77–57.35 42.10–59.02 | 49.94 43.16–56.73 41.49–58.40 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 481 414–548 396–566 | 462 396–529 378–546 | 943 809–1077 774–1112 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.44 63.41–71.47 62.12–72.77 | 70.51 66.19–74.84 64.88–76.14 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 12.06 9.22–14.89 8.46–15.65 | 12.47 9.53–15.42 8.78–16.17 | 24.53 18.75–30.31 17.24–31.82 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.69 0.59–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 3.27 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.18–2.81 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.29 1.11–5.47 0.55–6.02 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 3.53 1.98–5.09 1.55–5.52 | 6.35 3.36–9.34 2.55–10.16 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.