Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
25%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.001.622.62safe0.03–1.970.76–2.470.80–4.44safer0.00–2.220.53–2.700.32–4.92
Shots on target
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.475.508.97safe1.61–5.333.76–7.245.36–12.57safer1.12–5.823.29–7.714.41–13.53
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6615.4726.14safe6.74–14.5911.91–19.0418.65–33.62safer5.65–15.6810.95–20.0016.60–35.67
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8310.1016.93safe3.89–9.777.42–12.7811.31–22.56safer3.06–10.606.68–13.529.74–24.12
Blocked shots
23%
13%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.954.397.35safe1.07–4.832.74–6.053.81–10.88safer0.53–5.382.25–6.542.78–11.92
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.805.5710.37safe2.59–7.013.57–7.576.15–14.58safer2.01–7.593.04–8.105.05–15.69
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.8254.36safe40.03–53.6147.58–61.15safer38.36–55.2845.90–62.82
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction400440841safe333–467374–507707–974safer315–485357–524671–1010
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction61.3969.43safe57.36–65.4165.11–73.75safer56.06–66.7163.80–75.06
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2115.1829.39safe11.38–17.0512.23–18.1223.61–35.17safer10.62–17.8111.48–18.8722.10–36.68
Offsides
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.813.63safe0.66–2.980.72–2.901.38–5.88safer0.36–3.280.43–3.190.79–6.47
Yellow cards
43%
19%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.322.164.48safe1.27–3.371.03–3.292.30–6.66safer1.01–3.640.74–3.581.75–7.22
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.546.00safe2.02–4.890.99–4.103.00–8.99safer1.63–5.280.56–4.522.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.03–1.97 0.00–2.22 | 1.62 0.76–2.47 0.53–2.70 | 2.62 0.80–4.44 0.32–4.92 | 23% 25% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.47 1.61–5.33 1.12–5.82 | 5.50 3.76–7.24 3.29–7.71 | 8.97 5.36–12.57 4.41–13.53 | 20% 70% |
| Total shots | 10.66 6.74–14.59 5.65–15.68 | 15.47 11.91–19.04 10.95–20.00 | 26.14 18.65–33.62 16.60–35.67 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 6.83 3.89–9.77 3.06–10.60 | 10.10 7.42–12.78 6.68–13.52 | 16.93 11.31–22.56 9.74–24.12 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 2.95 1.07–4.83 0.53–5.38 | 4.39 2.74–6.05 2.25–6.54 | 7.35 3.81–10.88 2.78–11.92 | 23% 13% 63% |
| Corners | 4.80 2.59–7.01 2.01–7.59 | 5.57 3.57–7.57 3.04–8.10 | 10.37 6.15–14.58 5.05–15.69 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 46.82 40.03–53.61 38.36–55.28 | 54.36 47.58–61.15 45.90–62.82 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 400 333–467 315–485 | 440 374–507 357–524 | 841 707–974 671–1010 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.39 57.36–65.41 56.06–66.71 | 69.43 65.11–73.75 63.80–75.06 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 14.21 11.38–17.05 10.62–17.81 | 15.18 12.23–18.12 11.48–18.87 | 29.39 23.61–35.17 22.10–36.68 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.63 1.38–5.88 0.79–6.47 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.32 1.27–3.37 1.01–3.64 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 4.48 2.30–6.66 1.75–7.22 | 43% 19% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.46 2.02–4.89 1.63–5.28 | 2.54 0.99–4.10 0.56–4.52 | 6.00 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 56% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+