Premiership·Regular Season - 29·
Premiership·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
21%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.073.11safe1.07–3.010.22–1.931.29–4.93safer0.82–3.260.00–2.160.81–5.41
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.933.619.55safe4.07–7.791.87–5.365.94–13.15safer3.58–8.281.40–5.824.99–14.11
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6710.6627.34safe12.75–20.607.10–14.2319.85–34.82safer11.66–21.696.14–15.1917.80–36.87
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction11.237.2218.45safe8.29–14.174.54–9.9012.83–24.07safer7.46–15.003.80–10.6411.26–25.64
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.213.318.53safe3.33–7.101.66–4.974.99–12.06safer2.79–7.641.17–5.463.96–13.10
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.564.0810.64safe4.34–8.772.08–6.086.42–14.85safer3.77–9.341.55–6.615.32–15.96
Possession %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction54.3245.69safe47.53–61.1138.90–52.47safer45.86–62.7837.23–54.15
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction496402899safe429–563336–469765–1032safer411–582319–486729–1068
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction72.5671.26safe68.53–76.5966.93–75.58safer67.24–77.8865.62–76.89
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3212.7024.03safe8.49–14.169.76–15.6518.24–29.81safer7.73–14.929.01–16.3916.74–31.31
Offsides
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.242.75safe0.35–2.670.15–2.330.50–5.01safer0.05–2.970.00–2.620.00–5.60
Yellow cards
21%
20%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.242.193.43safe0.19–2.291.06–3.311.25–5.60safer0.00–2.560.76–3.610.69–6.16
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.333.816.14safe0.89–3.762.26–5.373.15–9.13safer0.50–4.151.83–5.792.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 1.07–3.01 0.82–3.26 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.93 4.07–7.79 3.58–8.28 | 3.61 1.87–5.36 1.40–5.82 | 9.55 5.94–13.15 4.99–14.11 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 16.67 12.75–20.60 11.66–21.69 | 10.66 7.10–14.23 6.14–15.19 | 27.34 19.85–34.82 17.80–36.87 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.23 8.29–14.17 7.46–15.00 | 7.22 4.54–9.90 3.80–10.64 | 18.45 12.83–24.07 11.26–25.64 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 5.21 3.33–7.10 2.79–7.64 | 3.31 1.66–4.97 1.17–5.46 | 8.53 4.99–12.06 3.96–13.10 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.56 4.34–8.77 3.77–9.34 | 4.08 2.08–6.08 1.55–6.61 | 10.64 6.42–14.85 5.32–15.96 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 54.32 47.53–61.11 45.86–62.78 | 45.69 38.90–52.47 37.23–54.15 | — | 67% 28% |
| Passes | 496 429–563 411–582 | 402 336–469 319–486 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.56 68.53–76.59 67.24–77.88 | 71.26 66.93–75.58 65.62–76.89 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 11.32 8.49–14.16 7.73–14.92 | 12.70 9.76–15.65 9.01–16.39 | 24.03 18.24–29.81 16.74–31.31 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.24 0.15–2.33 0.00–2.62 | 2.75 0.50–5.01 0.00–5.60 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.24 0.19–2.29 0.00–2.56 | 2.19 1.06–3.31 0.76–3.61 | 3.43 1.25–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.89–3.76 0.50–4.15 | 3.81 2.26–5.37 1.83–5.79 | 6.14 3.15–9.13 2.33–9.94 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.