Premiership·Regular Season - 29·
Premiership·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.032.93safe0.93–2.870.17–1.881.10–4.75safer0.68–3.120.00–2.110.63–5.23
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.783.659.43safe3.92–7.641.91–5.405.83–13.04safer3.43–8.131.44–5.864.87–13.99
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7211.5428.26safe12.80–20.657.98–15.1020.77–35.75safer11.70–21.747.02–16.0618.72–37.80
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction10.367.3917.75safe7.42–13.314.71–10.0712.13–23.37safer6.59–14.133.97–10.8110.56–24.94
Blocked shots
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.653.928.57safe2.76–6.532.27–5.585.03–12.10safer2.22–7.071.78–6.074.00–13.14
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.224.3410.56safe4.01–8.432.34–6.346.34–14.77safer3.43–9.011.80–6.875.24–15.88
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction59.0140.96safe52.22–65.8034.17–47.74safer50.55–67.4732.50–49.41
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction564387951safe496–631321–454817–1084safer478–649303–471781–1120
Pass accuracy %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction74.9770.76safe70.94–79.0066.44–75.09safer69.65–80.2965.13–76.39
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6311.1823.82safe9.80–15.478.24–14.1318.04–29.60safer9.04–16.237.49–14.8816.53–31.10
Offsides
44%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.463.19safe0.57–2.890.36–2.550.93–5.44safer0.27–3.190.07–2.840.35–6.03
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.063.69safe0.58–2.680.93–3.191.52–5.87safer0.32–2.950.64–3.480.96–6.43
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.796.41safe1.19–4.062.23–5.343.42–9.40safer0.80–4.451.81–5.772.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.87 0.68–3.12 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.93 1.10–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 58% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.78 3.92–7.64 3.43–8.13 | 3.65 1.91–5.40 1.44–5.86 | 9.43 5.83–13.04 4.87–13.99 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.72 12.80–20.65 11.70–21.74 | 11.54 7.98–15.10 7.02–16.06 | 28.26 20.77–35.75 18.72–37.80 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.36 7.42–13.31 6.59–14.13 | 7.39 4.71–10.07 3.97–10.81 | 17.75 12.13–23.37 10.56–24.94 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.65 2.76–6.53 2.22–7.07 | 3.92 2.27–5.58 1.78–6.07 | 8.57 5.03–12.10 4.00–13.14 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Corners | 6.22 4.01–8.43 3.43–9.01 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.80–6.87 | 10.56 6.34–14.77 5.24–15.88 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 59.01 52.22–65.80 50.55–67.47 | 40.96 34.17–47.74 32.50–49.41 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 564 496–631 478–649 | 387 321–454 303–471 | 951 817–1084 781–1120 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.97 70.94–79.00 69.65–80.29 | 70.76 66.44–75.09 65.13–76.39 | — | 68% 27% |
| Fouls | 12.63 9.80–15.47 9.04–16.23 | 11.18 8.24–14.13 7.49–14.88 | 23.82 18.04–29.60 16.53–31.10 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.07–2.84 | 3.19 0.93–5.44 0.35–6.03 | 44% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.69 1.52–5.87 0.96–6.43 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 3.79 2.23–5.34 1.81–5.77 | 6.41 3.42–9.40 2.61–10.22 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.