Premiership·Regular Season - 30·
Premiership·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
23%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.830.962.79safe0.86–2.800.10–1.810.97–4.61safer0.61–3.050.00–2.040.49–5.09
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.873.689.55safe4.00–7.731.94–5.425.94–13.15safer3.52–8.221.47–5.894.99–14.11
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction18.2210.9729.20safe14.30–22.157.41–14.5421.71–36.68safer13.21–23.246.45–15.5019.66–38.73
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.336.8118.14safe8.39–14.274.13–9.4912.52–23.76safer7.56–15.103.39–10.2310.95–25.33
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.303.128.42safe3.42–7.181.47–4.774.88–11.95safer2.87–7.720.98–5.273.85–12.99
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.564.4411.00safe4.35–8.782.44–6.446.79–15.22safer3.78–9.351.91–6.975.68–16.32
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.7241.44safe51.93–65.5134.66–48.23safer50.26–67.1832.99–49.90
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction523354877safe456–590288–420743–1011safer438–608270–438708–1046
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction75.0167.78safe70.98–79.0463.46–72.10safer69.69–80.3362.15–73.41
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4411.5122.95safe8.61–14.288.56–14.4517.17–28.73safer7.85–15.047.81–15.2015.66–30.24
Offsides
56%
21%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.233.27safe0.88–3.200.14–2.321.01–5.52safer0.57–3.500.00–2.610.43–6.11
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.723.29safe0.51–2.610.59–2.851.11–5.46safer0.25–2.880.30–3.140.55–6.02
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
22%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.544.036.57safe1.11–3.982.47–5.593.58–9.56safer0.72–4.372.05–6.012.77–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.80 0.61–3.05 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.79 0.97–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 58% 23% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.87 4.00–7.73 3.52–8.22 | 3.68 1.94–5.42 1.47–5.89 | 9.55 5.94–13.15 4.99–14.11 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 18.22 14.30–22.15 13.21–23.24 | 10.97 7.41–14.54 6.45–15.50 | 29.20 21.71–36.68 19.66–38.73 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.33 8.39–14.27 7.56–15.10 | 6.81 4.13–9.49 3.39–10.23 | 18.14 12.52–23.76 10.95–25.33 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 5.30 3.42–7.18 2.87–7.72 | 3.12 1.47–4.77 0.98–5.27 | 8.42 4.88–11.95 3.85–12.99 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 6.56 4.35–8.78 3.78–9.35 | 4.44 2.44–6.44 1.91–6.97 | 11.00 6.79–15.22 5.68–16.32 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 58.72 51.93–65.51 50.26–67.18 | 41.44 34.66–48.23 32.99–49.90 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 523 456–590 438–608 | 354 288–420 270–438 | 877 743–1011 708–1046 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.01 70.98–79.04 69.69–80.33 | 67.78 63.46–72.10 62.15–73.41 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 11.44 8.61–14.28 7.85–15.04 | 11.51 8.56–14.45 7.81–15.20 | 22.95 17.17–28.73 15.66–30.24 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.57–3.50 | 1.23 0.14–2.32 0.00–2.61 | 3.27 1.01–5.52 0.43–6.11 | 56% 21% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.29 1.11–5.46 0.55–6.02 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.11–3.98 0.72–4.37 | 4.03 2.47–5.59 2.05–6.01 | 6.57 3.58–9.56 2.77–10.38 | 22% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.