Premiership·Regular Season - 30·
Premiership·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.132.87safe0.77–2.710.28–1.991.05–4.70safer0.52–2.960.05–2.220.57–5.18
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.734.079.81safe3.87–7.602.33–5.826.20–13.41safer3.38–8.091.86–6.285.25–14.37
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6910.5827.27safe12.77–20.627.01–14.1419.78–34.75safer11.68–21.716.05–15.1017.73–36.81
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction11.337.0518.38safe8.39–14.274.36–9.7312.75–24.00safer7.56–15.103.63–10.4611.19–25.57
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.862.667.52safe2.98–6.751.00–4.313.98–11.05safer2.44–7.290.51–4.802.95–12.09
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.304.4210.72safe4.08–8.512.42–6.426.51–14.93safer3.51–9.081.89–6.955.40–16.04
Possession %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction47.3252.85safe40.53–54.1146.06–59.63safer38.86–55.7844.39–61.30
Passes
30%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction418481899safe351–485414–547765–1032safer333–503397–565729–1068
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction68.9175.14safe64.88–72.9470.81–79.46safer63.59–74.2369.50–80.77
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8113.0624.86safe8.97–14.6410.11–16.0019.08–30.65safer8.21–15.409.36–16.7517.58–32.15
Offsides
38%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.763.50safe0.58–2.900.67–2.851.24–5.75safer0.28–3.200.38–3.140.66–6.34
Yellow cards
24%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.442.233.68safe0.39–2.491.11–3.361.50–5.86safer0.13–2.760.81–3.650.94–6.41
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.936.66safe1.30–4.172.38–5.493.67–9.66safer0.91–4.551.95–5.912.86–10.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 0.77–2.71 0.52–2.96 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.87 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 52% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.73 3.87–7.60 3.38–8.09 | 4.07 2.33–5.82 1.86–6.28 | 9.81 6.20–13.41 5.25–14.37 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.69 12.77–20.62 11.68–21.71 | 10.58 7.01–14.14 6.05–15.10 | 27.27 19.78–34.75 17.73–36.81 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.33 8.39–14.27 7.56–15.10 | 7.05 4.36–9.73 3.63–10.46 | 18.38 12.75–24.00 11.19–25.57 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.86 2.98–6.75 2.44–7.29 | 2.66 1.00–4.31 0.51–4.80 | 7.52 3.98–11.05 2.95–12.09 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.30 4.08–8.51 3.51–9.08 | 4.42 2.42–6.42 1.89–6.95 | 10.72 6.51–14.93 5.40–16.04 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 47.32 40.53–54.11 38.86–55.78 | 52.85 46.06–59.63 44.39–61.30 | — | 35% 61% |
| Passes | 418 351–485 333–503 | 481 414–547 397–565 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 30% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.91 64.88–72.94 63.59–74.23 | 75.14 70.81–79.46 69.50–80.77 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 11.81 8.97–14.64 8.21–15.40 | 13.06 10.11–16.00 9.36–16.75 | 24.86 19.08–30.65 17.58–32.15 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.76 0.67–2.85 0.38–3.14 | 3.50 1.24–5.75 0.66–6.34 | 38% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 2.23 1.11–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.94–6.41 | 24% 20% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.55 | 3.93 2.38–5.49 1.95–5.91 | 6.66 3.67–9.66 2.86–10.47 | 25% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+