Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.230.823.05safe1.26–3.200.00–1.681.23–4.88safer1.01–3.450.00–1.910.75–5.36
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.453.149.59safe4.59–8.321.39–4.885.99–13.20safer4.10–8.810.93–5.345.03–14.15
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.809.2128.01safe14.88–22.735.64–12.7720.52–35.50safer13.79–23.824.68–13.7318.47–37.55
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction11.965.5817.54safe9.01–14.902.90–8.2711.92–23.16safer8.18–15.732.17–9.0010.35–24.73
Blocked shots
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.902.877.77safe3.02–6.781.21–4.524.23–11.30safer2.47–7.330.72–5.013.20–12.34
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.463.1310.60safe5.25–9.681.13–5.136.38–14.81safer4.68–10.250.60–5.675.28–15.92
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.1436.52safe56.35–69.9329.73–43.30safer54.68–71.6028.06–44.97
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction6543551009safe587–721288–421875–1142safer569–739271–439839–1178
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction76.9168.34safe72.88–80.9464.02–72.67safer71.59–82.2362.71–73.98
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9510.7421.69safe8.11–13.797.80–13.6915.91–27.47safer7.36–14.547.05–14.4314.40–28.98
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.373.07safe0.54–2.860.28–2.470.82–5.33safer0.24–3.160.00–2.760.23–5.92
Yellow cards
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.993.36safe0.31–2.410.87–3.121.18–5.54safer0.05–2.680.57–3.420.62–6.09
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.144.096.23safe0.70–3.582.54–5.653.24–9.22safer0.32–3.962.11–6.072.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.23 1.26–3.20 1.01–3.45 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 3.05 1.23–4.88 0.75–5.36 | 69% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.45 4.59–8.32 4.10–8.81 | 3.14 1.39–4.88 0.93–5.34 | 9.59 5.99–13.20 5.03–14.15 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.80 14.88–22.73 13.79–23.82 | 9.21 5.64–12.77 4.68–13.73 | 28.01 20.52–35.50 18.47–37.55 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 11.96 9.01–14.90 8.18–15.73 | 5.58 2.90–8.27 2.17–9.00 | 17.54 11.92–23.16 10.35–24.73 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.90 3.02–6.78 2.47–7.33 | 2.87 1.21–4.52 0.72–5.01 | 7.77 4.23–11.30 3.20–12.34 | 71% 18% |
| Corners | 7.46 5.25–9.68 4.68–10.25 | 3.13 1.13–5.13 0.60–5.67 | 10.60 6.38–14.81 5.28–15.92 | 88% |
| Possession % | 63.14 56.35–69.93 54.68–71.60 | 36.52 29.73–43.30 28.06–44.97 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 654 587–721 569–739 | 355 288–421 271–439 | 1009 875–1142 839–1178 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.91 72.88–80.94 71.59–82.23 | 68.34 64.02–72.67 62.71–73.98 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.95 8.11–13.79 7.36–14.54 | 10.74 7.80–13.69 7.05–14.43 | 21.69 15.91–27.47 14.40–28.98 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.37 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 3.07 0.82–5.33 0.23–5.92 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.05–2.68 | 1.99 0.87–3.12 0.57–3.42 | 3.36 1.18–5.54 0.62–6.09 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.70–3.58 0.32–3.96 | 4.09 2.54–5.65 2.11–6.07 | 6.23 3.24–9.22 2.43–10.04 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.