Premiership·Regular Season - 31·
Premiership·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
25%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.612.70safe0.12–2.050.76–2.470.88–4.52safer0.00–2.310.53–2.700.40–5.00
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.665.088.74safe1.80–5.533.33–6.825.13–12.34safer1.31–6.022.87–7.284.18–13.30
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5313.7225.25safe7.61–15.4510.16–17.2817.76–32.74safer6.51–16.559.20–18.2415.71–34.79
Shots in box
25%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction6.708.8215.53safe3.76–9.646.14–11.519.90–21.15safer2.93–10.475.41–12.248.34–22.72
Blocked shots
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.033.436.46safe1.15–4.911.78–5.082.92–10.00safer0.60–5.451.29–5.581.89–11.03
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.735.7410.47safe2.51–6.943.74–7.746.26–14.68safer1.94–7.523.21–8.285.15–15.79
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.6451.44safe41.85–55.4344.65–58.22safer40.18–57.1042.98–59.89
Passes
50%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction464463927safe397–531396–529793–1061safer379–549379–547758–1096
Pass accuracy %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction65.4371.84safe61.41–69.4667.51–76.16safer60.11–70.7666.21–77.47
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6812.7523.43safe7.84–13.519.81–15.7017.65–29.21safer7.08–14.279.06–16.4516.14–30.71
Offsides
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.963.85safe0.73–3.050.86–3.051.60–6.11safer0.43–3.360.58–3.341.01–6.69
Yellow cards
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.653.15safe0.45–2.550.52–2.780.98–5.33safer0.19–2.820.23–3.070.42–5.89
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.912.685.59safe1.47–4.351.12–4.242.60–8.58safer1.09–4.730.70–4.661.78–9.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.05 0.00–2.31 | 1.61 0.76–2.47 0.53–2.70 | 2.70 0.88–4.52 0.40–5.00 | 26% 25% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.66 1.80–5.53 1.31–6.02 | 5.08 3.33–6.82 2.87–7.28 | 8.74 5.13–12.34 4.18–13.30 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 11.53 7.61–15.45 6.51–16.55 | 13.72 10.16–17.28 9.20–18.24 | 25.25 17.76–32.74 15.71–34.79 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 6.70 3.76–9.64 2.93–10.47 | 8.82 6.14–11.51 5.41–12.24 | 15.53 9.90–21.15 8.34–22.72 | 25% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.03 1.15–4.91 0.60–5.45 | 3.43 1.78–5.08 1.29–5.58 | 6.46 2.92–10.00 1.89–11.03 | 36% 16% 48% |
| Corners | 4.73 2.51–6.94 1.94–7.52 | 5.74 3.74–7.74 3.21–8.28 | 10.47 6.26–14.68 5.15–15.79 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 48.64 41.85–55.43 40.18–57.10 | 51.44 44.65–58.22 42.98–59.89 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 464 397–531 379–549 | 463 396–529 379–547 | 927 793–1061 758–1096 | 50% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.43 61.41–69.46 60.11–70.76 | 71.84 67.51–76.16 66.21–77.47 | — | 19% 78% |
| Fouls | 10.68 7.84–13.51 7.08–14.27 | 12.75 9.81–15.70 9.06–16.45 | 23.43 17.65–29.21 16.14–30.71 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.36 | 1.96 0.86–3.05 0.58–3.34 | 3.85 1.60–6.11 1.01–6.69 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 1.65 0.52–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 3.15 0.98–5.33 0.42–5.89 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.47–4.35 1.09–4.73 | 2.68 1.12–4.24 0.70–4.66 | 5.59 2.60–8.58 1.78–9.39 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+