Premiership·Regular Season - 32·
Premiership·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.082.77safe0.73–2.660.23–1.930.95–4.60safer0.47–2.910.00–2.160.47–5.08
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.504.029.52safe3.64–7.372.28–5.765.92–13.13safer3.15–7.861.81–6.234.96–14.08
Total shots
68%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1912.2927.48safe11.26–19.118.73–15.8620.00–34.97safer10.17–20.207.77–16.8217.95–37.02
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.697.3118.00safe7.74–13.634.63–9.9912.37–23.62safer6.91–14.463.89–10.7310.81–25.19
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.263.627.88safe2.38–6.141.97–5.284.34–11.42safer1.83–6.681.48–5.773.31–12.45
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.484.6610.14safe3.27–7.692.66–6.665.93–14.35safer2.69–8.272.13–7.194.82–15.46
Possession %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction52.6747.27safe45.88–59.4640.49–54.06safer44.21–61.1338.82–55.73
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction458413871safe391–526347–480738–1005safer373–544329–497702–1041
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction70.9270.50safe66.89–74.9566.18–74.82safer65.60–76.2564.87–76.13
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3212.4024.72safe9.48–15.169.45–15.3418.93–30.50safer8.73–15.918.70–16.0917.43–32.00
Offsides
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.333.13safe0.64–2.960.23–2.420.88–5.38safer0.34–3.270.00–2.710.29–5.97
Yellow cards
33%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.153.93safe0.74–2.841.02–3.271.76–6.11safer0.47–3.100.73–3.571.20–6.67
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.140.23safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.460.00–0.86
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.546.36safe1.39–4.261.98–5.103.37–9.36safer1.00–4.651.56–5.522.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.73–2.66 0.47–2.91 | 1.08 0.23–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.77 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.50 3.64–7.37 3.15–7.86 | 4.02 2.28–5.76 1.81–6.23 | 9.52 5.92–13.13 4.96–14.08 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.19 11.26–19.11 10.17–20.20 | 12.29 8.73–15.86 7.77–16.82 | 27.48 20.00–34.97 17.95–37.02 | 68% 26% |
| Shots in box | 10.69 7.74–13.63 6.91–14.46 | 7.31 4.63–9.99 3.89–10.73 | 18.00 12.37–23.62 10.81–25.19 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.26 2.38–6.14 1.83–6.68 | 3.62 1.97–5.28 1.48–5.77 | 7.88 4.34–11.42 3.31–12.45 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 5.48 3.27–7.69 2.69–8.27 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.13–7.19 | 10.14 5.93–14.35 4.82–15.46 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 52.67 45.88–59.46 44.21–61.13 | 47.27 40.49–54.06 38.82–55.73 | — | 60% 35% |
| Passes | 458 391–526 373–544 | 413 347–480 329–497 | 871 738–1005 702–1041 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.92 66.89–74.95 65.60–76.25 | 70.50 66.18–74.82 64.87–76.13 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 12.32 9.48–15.16 8.73–15.91 | 12.40 9.45–15.34 8.70–16.09 | 24.72 18.93–30.50 17.43–32.00 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.27 | 1.33 0.23–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.13 0.88–5.38 0.29–5.97 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.47–3.10 | 2.15 1.02–3.27 0.73–3.57 | 3.93 1.76–6.11 1.20–6.67 | 33% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.54 1.98–5.10 1.56–5.52 | 6.36 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.