Premiership·Regular Season - 32·
Premiership·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.330.863.19safe1.36–3.290.00–1.711.36–5.01safer1.11–3.550.00–1.940.88–5.49
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.502.919.41safe4.64–8.361.16–4.655.80–13.01safer4.15–8.850.70–5.114.85–13.97
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.319.1526.46safe13.39–21.235.59–12.7118.97–33.95safer12.29–22.334.63–13.6716.92–36.00
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction11.985.6017.58safe9.04–14.932.92–8.2811.96–23.21safer8.21–15.752.18–9.0210.39–24.77
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.702.697.39safe2.82–6.591.03–4.343.86–10.93safer2.28–7.130.54–4.832.82–11.96
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.763.5210.28safe4.54–8.971.52–5.526.06–14.49safer3.97–9.540.99–6.064.96–15.60
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.1946.25safe47.40–60.9839.46–53.03safer45.73–62.6537.79–54.71
Passes
81%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction525418943safe458–592351–484809–1077safer440–610334–502773–1112
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction72.4970.55safe68.46–76.5266.22–74.87safer67.17–77.8164.91–76.18
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5612.2023.76safe8.72–14.399.26–15.1517.98–29.54safer7.96–15.158.51–15.9016.47–31.05
Offsides
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.112.80safe0.54–2.860.01–2.200.55–5.06safer0.23–3.160.00–2.490.00–5.65
Yellow cards
21%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.963.04safe0.04–2.130.83–3.080.86–5.22safer0.00–2.400.54–3.380.31–5.78
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.044.156.18safe0.60–3.472.59–5.703.19–9.18safer0.21–3.862.17–6.132.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.33 1.36–3.29 1.11–3.55 | 0.86 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 3.19 1.36–5.01 0.88–5.49 | 70% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.50 4.64–8.36 4.15–8.85 | 2.91 1.16–4.65 0.70–5.11 | 9.41 5.80–13.01 4.85–13.97 | 85% |
| Total shots | 17.31 13.39–21.23 12.29–22.33 | 9.15 5.59–12.71 4.63–13.67 | 26.46 18.97–33.95 16.92–36.00 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.98 9.04–14.93 8.21–15.75 | 5.60 2.92–8.28 2.18–9.02 | 17.58 11.96–23.21 10.39–24.77 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.70 2.82–6.59 2.28–7.13 | 2.69 1.03–4.34 0.54–4.83 | 7.39 3.86–10.93 2.82–11.96 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.76 4.54–8.97 3.97–9.54 | 3.52 1.52–5.52 0.99–6.06 | 10.28 6.06–14.49 4.96–15.60 | 80% |
| Possession % | 54.19 47.40–60.98 45.73–62.65 | 46.25 39.46–53.03 37.79–54.71 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 525 458–592 440–610 | 418 351–484 334–502 | 943 809–1077 773–1112 | 81% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.49 68.46–76.52 67.17–77.81 | 70.55 66.22–74.87 64.91–76.18 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.72–14.39 7.96–15.15 | 12.20 9.26–15.15 8.51–15.90 | 23.76 17.98–29.54 16.47–31.05 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.23–3.16 | 1.11 0.01–2.20 0.00–2.49 | 2.80 0.55–5.06 0.00–5.65 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.08 0.04–2.13 0.00–2.40 | 1.96 0.83–3.08 0.54–3.38 | 3.04 0.86–5.22 0.31–5.78 | 21% 22% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.60–3.47 0.21–3.86 | 4.15 2.59–5.70 2.17–6.13 | 6.18 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 14% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+