Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
25%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.600.962.56safe0.64–2.570.11–1.810.74–4.39safer0.39–2.820.00–2.040.26–4.87
Shots on target
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.293.468.75safe3.42–7.151.72–5.205.14–12.35safer2.93–7.641.25–5.674.19–13.31
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction15.369.3724.74safe11.44–19.295.81–12.9317.25–32.22safer10.35–20.384.85–13.8915.20–34.27
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction9.866.5316.39safe6.92–12.813.85–9.2110.77–22.02safer6.09–13.643.11–9.959.20–23.58
Blocked shots
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.592.527.11safe2.71–6.470.87–4.173.57–10.64safer2.16–7.010.38–4.672.54–11.68
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.624.2910.91safe4.41–8.842.29–6.296.70–15.13safer3.84–9.411.76–6.825.59–16.23
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.6446.60safe46.85–60.4339.81–53.38safer45.18–62.1038.14–55.05
Passes
72%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction471400871safe404–539333–466737–1005safer386–557316–484702–1040
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction68.0568.86safe64.02–72.0864.53–73.18safer62.72–73.3763.22–74.49
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5913.8125.40safe8.75–14.4310.86–16.7519.62–31.18safer8.00–15.1810.12–17.5018.11–32.69
Offsides
39%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.012.054.05safe0.85–3.170.95–3.141.80–6.31safer0.54–3.470.67–3.431.21–6.90
Yellow cards
25%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.193.65safe0.41–2.511.07–3.321.47–5.83safer0.14–2.770.77–3.620.92–6.39
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
22%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.293.655.94safe0.86–3.732.09–5.202.95–8.93safer0.47–4.121.67–5.632.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.64–2.57 0.39–2.82 | 0.96 0.11–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.56 0.74–4.39 0.26–4.87 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.29 3.42–7.15 2.93–7.64 | 3.46 1.72–5.20 1.25–5.67 | 8.75 5.14–12.35 4.19–13.31 | 67% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.36 11.44–19.29 10.35–20.38 | 9.37 5.81–12.93 4.85–13.89 | 24.74 17.25–32.22 15.20–34.27 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 9.86 6.92–12.81 6.09–13.64 | 6.53 3.85–9.21 3.11–9.95 | 16.39 10.77–22.02 9.20–23.58 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.71–6.47 2.16–7.01 | 2.52 0.87–4.17 0.38–4.67 | 7.11 3.57–10.64 2.54–11.68 | 72% 16% |
| Corners | 6.62 4.41–8.84 3.84–9.41 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.76–6.82 | 10.91 6.70–15.13 5.59–16.23 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 53.64 46.85–60.43 45.18–62.10 | 46.60 39.81–53.38 38.14–55.05 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 471 404–539 386–557 | 400 333–466 316–484 | 871 737–1005 702–1040 | 72% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.05 64.02–72.08 62.72–73.37 | 68.86 64.53–73.18 63.22–74.49 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.59 8.75–14.43 8.00–15.18 | 13.81 10.86–16.75 10.12–17.50 | 25.40 19.62–31.18 18.11–32.69 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.54–3.47 | 2.05 0.95–3.14 0.67–3.43 | 4.05 1.80–6.31 1.21–6.90 | 39% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.14–2.77 | 2.19 1.07–3.32 0.77–3.62 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 25% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 3.65 2.09–5.20 1.67–5.63 | 5.94 2.95–8.93 2.13–9.74 | 22% 15% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.