Premiership·Regular Season - 33·
Premiership·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.122.54safe0.44–2.380.27–1.980.71–4.36safer0.19–2.630.04–2.210.23–4.84
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.233.798.02safe2.37–6.092.05–5.544.42–11.63safer1.88–6.581.59–6.003.46–12.58
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4711.6924.16safe8.55–16.398.12–15.2516.67–31.64safer7.45–17.497.16–16.2114.62–33.69
Shots in box
58%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction8.296.9715.27safe5.35–11.234.29–9.669.64–20.89safer4.52–12.063.56–10.398.08–22.46
Blocked shots
54%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.692.896.58safe1.81–5.571.24–4.543.04–10.11safer1.26–6.110.74–5.032.01–11.15
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.634.5810.21safe3.42–7.842.58–6.586.00–14.42safer2.84–8.422.05–7.114.89–15.53
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.2749.76safe43.48–57.0642.98–56.55safer41.81–58.7341.31–58.22
Passes
53%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction435426861safe368–502360–493728–995safer350–520342–510692–1031
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction67.1268.90safe63.09–71.1564.58–73.22safer61.80–72.4463.27–74.53
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2112.8825.09safe9.37–15.059.93–15.8219.31–30.87safer8.61–15.809.19–16.5717.80–32.37
Offsides
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.293.27safe0.82–3.140.20–2.381.02–5.52safer0.52–3.440.00–2.670.43–6.11
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.953.89safe0.89–2.990.82–3.081.71–6.06safer0.62–3.250.53–3.371.15–6.62
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
39%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.572.725.29safe1.14–4.011.16–4.282.30–8.29safer0.75–4.400.74–4.701.49–9.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.38 0.19–2.63 | 1.12 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.21 | 2.54 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.84 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.37–6.09 1.88–6.58 | 3.79 2.05–5.54 1.59–6.00 | 8.02 4.42–11.63 3.46–12.58 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 12.47 8.55–16.39 7.45–17.49 | 11.69 8.12–15.25 7.16–16.21 | 24.16 16.67–31.64 14.62–33.69 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 8.29 5.35–11.23 4.52–12.06 | 6.97 4.29–9.66 3.56–10.39 | 15.27 9.64–20.89 8.08–22.46 | 58% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.81–5.57 1.26–6.11 | 2.89 1.24–4.54 0.74–5.03 | 6.58 3.04–10.11 2.01–11.15 | 54% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.63 3.42–7.84 2.84–8.42 | 4.58 2.58–6.58 2.05–7.11 | 10.21 6.00–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 50.27 43.48–57.06 41.81–58.73 | 49.76 42.98–56.55 41.31–58.22 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 435 368–502 350–520 | 426 360–493 342–510 | 861 728–995 692–1031 | 53% 47% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.12 63.09–71.15 61.80–72.44 | 68.90 64.58–73.22 63.27–74.53 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 12.21 9.37–15.05 8.61–15.80 | 12.88 9.93–15.82 9.19–16.57 | 25.09 19.31–30.87 17.80–32.37 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 1.29 0.20–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.27 1.02–5.52 0.43–6.11 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.89 1.71–6.06 1.15–6.62 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 2.72 1.16–4.28 0.74–4.70 | 5.29 2.30–8.29 1.49–9.10 | 39% 18% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+