Premiership·Regular Season - 33·
Premiership·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.502.87safe0.40–2.340.65–2.361.05–4.69safer0.15–2.590.42–2.590.57–5.17
Shots on target
35%
13%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.074.718.78safe2.20–5.932.97–6.455.17–12.38safer1.71–6.422.50–6.924.22–13.34
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7313.1724.90safe7.80–15.659.61–16.7317.41–32.38safer6.71–16.748.65–17.6915.36–34.44
Shots in box
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction7.868.8516.71safe4.92–10.806.17–11.5311.09–22.33safer4.09–11.635.43–12.279.52–23.90
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.603.857.45safe1.72–5.492.20–5.503.92–10.99safer1.18–6.031.71–6.002.88–12.03
Corners
38%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.765.2510.01safe2.54–6.973.25–7.255.80–14.22safer1.97–7.552.72–7.784.69–15.33
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction46.7753.37safe39.98–53.5646.59–60.16safer38.31–55.2344.92–61.83
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction430457887safe363–498390–523754–1021safer345–516373–541718–1057
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction64.4171.68safe60.38–68.4467.36–76.00safer59.09–69.7366.05–77.31
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7711.9724.74safe9.93–15.619.02–14.9118.96–30.52safer9.18–16.378.27–15.6617.45–32.03
Offsides
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.053.57safe0.36–2.680.95–3.141.31–5.82safer0.06–2.980.66–3.430.73–6.41
Yellow cards
47%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.613.59safe0.94–3.040.48–2.741.42–5.77safer0.67–3.300.19–3.030.86–6.33
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.100.23safe0.00–0.290.00–0.280.00–0.58safer0.00–0.440.00–0.420.00–0.86
GK saves
49%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.112.625.73safe1.67–4.541.07–4.182.74–8.72safer1.28–4.930.64–4.611.93–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.50 0.65–2.36 0.42–2.59 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 35% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.07 2.20–5.93 1.71–6.42 | 4.71 2.97–6.45 2.50–6.92 | 8.78 5.17–12.38 4.22–13.34 | 35% 13% 52% |
| Total shots | 11.73 7.80–15.65 6.71–16.74 | 13.17 9.61–16.73 8.65–17.69 | 24.90 17.41–32.38 15.36–34.44 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 7.86 4.92–10.80 4.09–11.63 | 8.85 6.17–11.53 5.43–12.27 | 16.71 11.09–22.33 9.52–23.90 | 36% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.60 1.72–5.49 1.18–6.03 | 3.85 2.20–5.50 1.71–6.00 | 7.45 3.92–10.99 2.88–12.03 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.76 2.54–6.97 1.97–7.55 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.72–7.78 | 10.01 5.80–14.22 4.69–15.33 | 38% 50% |
| Possession % | 46.77 39.98–53.56 38.31–55.23 | 53.37 46.59–60.16 44.92–61.83 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 430 363–498 345–516 | 457 390–523 373–541 | 887 754–1021 718–1057 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.41 60.38–68.44 59.09–69.73 | 71.68 67.36–76.00 66.05–77.31 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 12.77 9.93–15.61 9.18–16.37 | 11.97 9.02–14.91 8.27–15.66 | 24.74 18.96–30.52 17.45–32.03 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 2.05 0.95–3.14 0.66–3.43 | 3.57 1.31–5.82 0.73–6.41 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.30 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.59 1.42–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 47% 22% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.67–4.54 1.28–4.93 | 2.62 1.07–4.18 0.64–4.61 | 5.73 2.74–8.72 1.93–9.54 | 49% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+