Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.102.44safe0.38–2.310.24–1.950.62–4.26safer0.13–2.560.01–2.180.14–4.74
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.484.038.51safe2.62–6.342.29–5.774.91–12.12safer2.13–6.831.82–6.243.95–13.07
Total shots
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7611.6026.37safe10.84–18.698.04–15.1718.88–33.85safer9.74–19.787.08–16.1316.83–35.90
Shots in box
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.808.0517.86safe6.86–12.755.37–10.7312.23–23.48safer6.03–13.584.63–11.4710.67–25.05
Blocked shots
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.753.388.13safe2.87–6.631.73–5.044.60–11.67safer2.33–7.181.24–5.533.56–12.70
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.754.6810.42safe3.53–7.962.68–6.686.21–14.64safer2.96–8.532.14–7.215.10–15.74
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.4545.65safe47.66–61.2438.87–52.44safer45.99–62.9137.20–54.11
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction465388853safe397–532322–455719–987safer379–550304–472684–1022
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction68.8867.25safe64.85–72.9162.93–71.58safer63.56–74.2061.62–72.89
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1510.7322.88safe9.31–14.987.79–13.6817.10–28.66safer8.55–15.747.04–14.4315.59–30.16
Offsides
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.923.22safe0.14–2.460.83–3.010.97–5.47safer0.00–2.760.54–3.300.38–6.06
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.843.45safe0.56–2.660.71–2.971.27–5.63safer0.29–2.920.42–3.260.71–6.18
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.12safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
36%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.115.83safe1.29–4.161.55–4.662.84–8.83safer0.90–4.551.12–5.092.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.31 0.13–2.56 | 1.10 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.18 | 2.44 0.62–4.26 0.14–4.74 | 42% 27% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.62–6.34 2.13–6.83 | 4.03 2.29–5.77 1.82–6.24 | 8.51 4.91–12.12 3.95–13.07 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.76 10.84–18.69 9.74–19.78 | 11.60 8.04–15.17 7.08–16.13 | 26.37 18.88–33.85 16.83–35.90 | 70% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.80 6.86–12.75 6.03–13.58 | 8.05 5.37–10.73 4.63–11.47 | 17.86 12.23–23.48 10.67–25.05 | 62% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.75 2.87–6.63 2.33–7.18 | 3.38 1.73–5.04 1.24–5.53 | 8.13 4.60–11.67 3.56–12.70 | 62% 25% |
| Corners | 5.75 3.53–7.96 2.96–8.53 | 4.68 2.68–6.68 2.14–7.21 | 10.42 6.21–14.64 5.10–15.74 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 54.45 47.66–61.24 45.99–62.91 | 45.65 38.87–52.44 37.20–54.11 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 465 397–532 379–550 | 388 322–455 304–472 | 853 719–987 684–1022 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.88 64.85–72.91 63.56–74.20 | 67.25 62.93–71.58 61.62–72.89 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 12.15 9.31–14.98 8.55–15.74 | 10.73 7.79–13.68 7.04–14.43 | 22.88 17.10–28.66 15.59–30.16 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.30 0.14–2.46 0.00–2.76 | 1.92 0.83–3.01 0.54–3.30 | 3.22 0.97–5.47 0.38–6.06 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.92 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.71–6.18 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 3.11 1.55–4.66 1.12–5.09 | 5.83 2.84–8.83 2.03–9.64 | 36% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+