Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.112.81safe0.73–2.670.26–1.970.99–4.63safer0.48–2.920.03–2.200.51–5.11
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.053.848.89safe3.19–6.922.10–5.585.29–12.50safer2.70–7.411.63–6.054.33–13.45
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3311.2725.59safe10.40–18.257.70–14.8318.11–33.08safer9.31–19.346.74–15.7916.05–35.13
Shots in box
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction9.158.3417.49safe6.21–12.095.65–11.0211.86–23.11safer5.38–12.924.92–11.7510.30–24.68
Blocked shots
60%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.583.367.94safe2.69–6.461.71–5.014.40–11.47safer2.15–7.001.22–5.513.37–12.51
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction6.164.4510.61safe3.95–8.372.45–6.456.39–14.82safer3.37–8.951.91–6.985.29–15.93
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction56.0144.36safe49.22–62.8037.58–51.15safer47.55–64.4735.91–52.82
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction508389896safe440–575322–455762–1030safer422–593305–473727–1066
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction71.9670.46safe67.93–75.9966.13–74.78safer66.64–77.2864.82–76.09
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0612.0523.11safe8.22–13.909.10–14.9917.33–28.89safer7.47–14.668.36–15.7415.82–30.40
Offsides
47%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.603.57safe0.81–3.130.51–2.691.32–5.83safer0.51–3.430.22–2.980.73–6.41
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.274.23safe0.91–3.011.14–3.402.05–6.40safer0.64–3.270.85–3.691.49–6.96
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.603.446.04safe1.16–4.031.89–5.003.05–9.03safer0.77–4.421.46–5.422.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.73–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 1.11 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.20 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.05 3.19–6.92 2.70–7.41 | 3.84 2.10–5.58 1.63–6.05 | 8.89 5.29–12.50 4.33–13.45 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 14.33 10.40–18.25 9.31–19.34 | 11.27 7.70–14.83 6.74–15.79 | 25.59 18.11–33.08 16.05–35.13 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.15 6.21–12.09 5.38–12.92 | 8.34 5.65–11.02 4.92–11.75 | 17.49 11.86–23.11 10.30–24.68 | 53% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 4.58 2.69–6.46 2.15–7.00 | 3.36 1.71–5.01 1.22–5.51 | 7.94 4.40–11.47 3.37–12.51 | 60% 13% 27% |
| Corners | 6.16 3.95–8.37 3.37–8.95 | 4.45 2.45–6.45 1.91–6.98 | 10.61 6.39–14.82 5.29–15.93 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 56.01 49.22–62.80 47.55–64.47 | 44.36 37.58–51.15 35.91–52.82 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 508 440–575 422–593 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 896 762–1030 727–1066 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.96 67.93–75.99 66.64–77.28 | 70.46 66.13–74.78 64.82–76.09 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 11.06 8.22–13.90 7.47–14.66 | 12.05 9.10–14.99 8.36–15.74 | 23.11 17.33–28.89 15.82–30.40 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.43 | 1.60 0.51–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.57 1.32–5.83 0.73–6.41 | 47% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.64–3.27 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 4.23 2.05–6.40 1.49–6.96 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 3.44 1.89–5.00 1.46–5.42 | 6.04 3.05–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+