Premier League·Regular Season - 11·
Premier League·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.070.823.89safe2.10–4.040.00–1.682.07–5.71safer1.85–4.290.00–1.901.59–6.19
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.623.2810.89safe5.75–9.481.53–5.027.29–14.50safer5.26–9.971.07–5.486.33–15.45
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.238.4128.63safe16.30–24.154.84–11.9721.15–36.12safer15.21–25.243.88–12.9319.10–38.17
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction13.936.0619.99safe10.98–16.873.38–8.7514.37–25.61safer10.15–17.702.65–9.4812.80–27.18
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.691.877.56safe3.81–7.570.21–3.524.02–11.09safer3.26–8.120.00–4.012.99–12.13
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.763.1710.93safe5.55–9.971.17–5.176.71–15.14safer4.97–10.550.64–5.705.61–16.25
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction64.8634.55safe58.07–71.6527.76–41.33safer56.40–73.3226.09–43.00
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction6803681048safe613–747301–434914–1181safer594–765284–452878–1217
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction84.3972.56safe80.36–88.4268.24–76.89safer79.07–89.7166.93–78.20
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3610.0919.46safe6.52–12.207.15–13.0413.67–25.24safer5.77–12.966.40–13.7912.17–26.74
Offsides
38%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.232.394.61safe1.06–3.391.29–3.482.36–6.86safer0.76–3.691.00–3.771.77–7.45
Yellow cards
19%
22%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.011.922.93safe0.00–2.060.79–3.050.75–5.11safer0.00–2.330.50–3.340.20–5.67
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.74
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.264.757.01safe0.82–3.693.20–6.314.02–10.00safer0.43–4.082.77–6.733.21–10.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.07 2.10–4.04 1.85–4.29 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.90 | 3.89 2.07–5.71 1.59–6.19 | 82% |
| Shots on target | 7.62 5.75–9.48 5.26–9.97 | 3.28 1.53–5.02 1.07–5.48 | 10.89 7.29–14.50 6.33–15.45 | 88% |
| Total shots | 20.23 16.30–24.15 15.21–25.24 | 8.41 4.84–11.97 3.88–12.93 | 28.63 21.15–36.12 19.10–38.17 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.93 10.98–16.87 10.15–17.70 | 6.06 3.38–8.75 2.65–9.48 | 19.99 14.37–25.61 12.80–27.18 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.69 3.81–7.57 3.26–8.12 | 1.87 0.21–3.52 0.00–4.01 | 7.56 4.02–11.09 2.99–12.13 | 89% |
| Corners | 7.76 5.55–9.97 4.97–10.55 | 3.17 1.17–5.17 0.64–5.70 | 10.93 6.71–15.14 5.61–16.25 | 90% |
| Possession % | 64.86 58.07–71.65 56.40–73.32 | 34.55 27.76–41.33 26.09–43.00 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 680 613–747 594–765 | 368 301–434 284–452 | 1048 914–1181 878–1217 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.39 80.36–88.42 79.07–89.71 | 72.56 68.24–76.89 66.93–78.20 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 9.36 6.52–12.20 5.77–12.96 | 10.09 7.15–13.04 6.40–13.79 | 19.46 13.67–25.24 12.17–26.74 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.23 1.06–3.39 0.76–3.69 | 2.39 1.29–3.48 1.00–3.77 | 4.61 2.36–6.86 1.77–7.45 | 38% 19% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.01 0.00–2.06 0.00–2.33 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 2.93 0.75–5.11 0.20–5.67 | 19% 22% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.82–3.69 0.43–4.08 | 4.75 3.20–6.31 2.77–6.73 | 7.01 4.02–10.00 3.21–10.81 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+