Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
22%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction0.941.922.86safe0.00–1.901.07–2.781.03–4.68safer0.00–2.160.84–3.000.55–5.16
Shots on target
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.275.608.86safe1.40–5.133.85–7.345.26–12.47safer0.91–5.623.39–7.814.30–13.42
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2416.3626.61safe6.32–14.1712.80–19.9319.12–34.09safer5.23–15.2611.84–20.8917.07–36.14
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.8410.8316.67safe2.90–8.798.15–13.5111.05–22.29safer2.07–9.617.41–14.259.48–23.86
Blocked shots
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.275.238.49safe1.38–5.153.57–6.884.96–12.03safer0.84–5.693.08–7.373.92–13.06
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.145.529.66safe1.92–6.353.52–7.525.45–13.87safer1.35–6.922.99–8.064.34–14.98
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction43.3457.38safe36.55–50.1350.60–64.17safer34.88–51.8048.93–65.84
Passes
17%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction404515919safe336–471449–582785–1053safer318–489431–599750–1088
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction68.5580.07safe64.52–72.5875.74–84.39safer63.23–73.8774.43–85.70
Fouls
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5110.4122.93safe9.68–15.357.47–13.3617.15–28.71safer8.92–16.116.72–14.1115.64–30.22
Offsides
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.753.17safe0.26–2.580.66–2.850.92–5.43safer0.00–2.880.37–3.140.33–6.02
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.833.91safe1.03–3.130.71–2.961.73–6.09safer0.76–3.390.41–3.251.18–6.65
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.250.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
63%
15%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.562.285.84safe2.12–5.000.72–3.832.84–8.83safer1.74–5.380.30–4.262.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.90 0.00–2.16 | 1.92 1.07–2.78 0.84–3.00 | 2.86 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 18% 22% 60% |
| Shots on target | 3.27 1.40–5.13 0.91–5.62 | 5.60 3.85–7.34 3.39–7.81 | 8.86 5.26–12.47 4.30–13.42 | 17% 73% |
| Total shots | 10.24 6.32–14.17 5.23–15.26 | 16.36 12.80–19.93 11.84–20.89 | 26.61 19.12–34.09 17.07–36.14 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 5.84 2.90–8.79 2.07–9.61 | 10.83 8.15–13.51 7.41–14.25 | 16.67 11.05–22.29 9.48–23.86 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 3.27 1.38–5.15 0.84–5.69 | 5.23 3.57–6.88 3.08–7.37 | 8.49 4.96–12.03 3.92–13.06 | 20% 69% |
| Corners | 4.14 1.92–6.35 1.35–6.92 | 5.52 3.52–7.52 2.99–8.06 | 9.66 5.45–13.87 4.34–14.98 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 43.34 36.55–50.13 34.88–51.80 | 57.38 50.60–64.17 48.93–65.84 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 404 336–471 318–489 | 515 449–582 431–599 | 919 785–1053 750–1088 | 17% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.55 64.52–72.58 63.23–73.87 | 80.07 75.74–84.39 74.43–85.70 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 12.51 9.68–15.35 8.92–16.11 | 10.41 7.47–13.36 6.72–14.11 | 22.93 17.15–28.71 15.64–30.22 | 63% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.75 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.14 | 3.17 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.76–3.39 | 1.83 0.71–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.91 1.73–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.56 2.12–5.00 1.74–5.38 | 2.28 0.72–3.83 0.30–4.26 | 5.84 2.84–8.83 2.03–9.64 | 63% 15% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.