Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.040.963.00safe1.07–3.010.11–1.821.18–4.82safer0.82–3.260.00–2.040.70–5.30
Shots on target
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.573.6510.22safe4.71–8.431.91–5.406.62–13.83safer4.22–8.921.45–5.865.66–14.78
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction19.569.9729.53safe15.64–23.496.40–13.5322.04–37.02safer14.55–24.585.44–14.4919.99–39.07
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction12.876.9719.84safe9.93–15.814.29–9.6514.22–25.47safer9.10–16.643.55–10.3912.65–27.03
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.742.488.23safe3.86–7.630.83–4.144.69–11.76safer3.32–8.170.34–4.633.66–12.80
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.543.9411.48safe5.33–9.761.94–5.947.26–15.69safer4.76–10.331.40–6.476.16–16.80
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction59.7938.87safe53.00–66.5832.09–45.66safer51.33–68.2530.42–47.33
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction542364906safe475–609298–431772–1040safer456–627280–448736–1075
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction79.8871.35safe75.85–83.9167.02–75.67safer74.56–85.2065.71–76.98
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3210.7722.09safe8.48–14.167.82–13.7116.31–27.87safer7.73–14.927.07–14.4614.80–29.37
Offsides
37%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.753.41safe0.50–2.820.65–2.841.15–5.66safer0.20–3.120.37–3.130.56–6.25
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.033.72safe0.64–2.740.90–3.161.54–5.90safer0.38–3.010.61–3.450.99–6.46
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.244.216.46safe0.81–3.682.66–5.773.46–9.45safer0.42–4.072.23–6.192.65–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 1.07–3.01 0.82–3.26 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.04 | 3.00 1.18–4.82 0.70–5.30 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.57 4.71–8.43 4.22–8.92 | 3.65 1.91–5.40 1.45–5.86 | 10.22 6.62–13.83 5.66–14.78 | 78% 14% |
| Total shots | 19.56 15.64–23.49 14.55–24.58 | 9.97 6.40–13.53 5.44–14.49 | 29.53 22.04–37.02 19.99–39.07 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.87 9.93–15.81 9.10–16.64 | 6.97 4.29–9.65 3.55–10.39 | 19.84 14.22–25.47 12.65–27.03 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 5.74 3.86–7.63 3.32–8.17 | 2.48 0.83–4.14 0.34–4.63 | 8.23 4.69–11.76 3.66–12.80 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.54 5.33–9.76 4.76–10.33 | 3.94 1.94–5.94 1.40–6.47 | 11.48 7.26–15.69 6.16–16.80 | 82% |
| Possession % | 59.79 53.00–66.58 51.33–68.25 | 38.87 32.09–45.66 30.42–47.33 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 542 475–609 456–627 | 364 298–431 280–448 | 906 772–1040 736–1075 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.88 75.85–83.91 74.56–85.20 | 71.35 67.02–75.67 65.71–76.98 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.32 8.48–14.16 7.73–14.92 | 10.77 7.82–13.71 7.07–14.46 | 22.09 16.31–27.87 14.80–29.37 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.75 0.65–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.41 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 37% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.99–6.46 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.81–3.68 0.42–4.07 | 4.21 2.66–5.77 2.23–6.19 | 6.46 3.46–9.45 2.65–10.26 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.